Tag: The Fed

Senate Banking Committee Chair Urges Expansion of Fed’s Main Street Lending Program to Accommodate Commercial Real Estate

Posted on by Trey Jackson

Senate Banking Committee Chairman Mike Crapo (R-ID) on July 31 submitted a letter to Treasury Secretary Mnuchin and Fed Chair Jay Powell encouraging the expansion of the Main Street Lending Program (MSLP) by setting up an asset-based lending program and commercial real estate program.  (Sen. Crapo’s letter, July 31)

  • Specifically, the letter encourages the Treasury and Fed to:
    • Establish a facility to accommodate asset-based lending could open access to critical resources for several industries that could not otherwise access the MSLP based on earnings or cash flow metrics. Such asset-based lending would be predicated on pledged collateral.
    • Address the unique circumstances faced by commercial real estate, including securitized commercial mortgages, whether through access in the MSLP or a separate facility. Several options have been circulated and should be carefully considered in crafting the appropriate terms.
  • The letter also directs the Treasury and Fed to sidestep the need for an additional Congressional appropriation of funds by utilizing the remaining funds available under section 4003(b)(4) of the CARES Act intended for Federal Reserve 13(3) facilities.
  • A coalition of nine real estate industry groups, including The Real Estate Roundtable, on July 21 submitted a set of recommendations to the Senate Banking Committee aimed at improving the Fed’s MSLP for commercial real estate owners and tenants.  The committee is currently reviewing the effectiveness of the MSLP and other Fed credit lending facilities launched to counter the economic repercussions of the COVID-19 crisis. (Real estate coalition letter, July 21 and Roundtable Weekly, July 24)
  • The MSLP became fully operational about a month ago with $600 billion in lending capacity.  Banks who participate in the program must make loans for at least $250,000, with strict requirements, and loans cannot be approved for highly-indebted companies.
  • The program to date has attracted only eight borrowers as of July 27 – according to a report released yesterday by the central bank – and been used to support only about $100 million in loans, with more in process.  (BGov, Aug 7)
  • Separately, four U.S. Senators wrote to Treasury Secretary Mnuchin and Federal Reserve Chairman Jay Powell this week with recommendations on reforming the Fed’s MSLP credit facilities.  (Senators’ letter, Aug. 4)
  • Sens. Mike Braun (R-IN), John Cornyn (R-TX), Kelly Loeffler (R-GA) and Thom Tillis (R-NC) offer specific ways the MSLP program could be amended to better serve borrowers across the nation to save millions of American jobs, including:
    • Increase the maximum debt-to-EBITDA leverage ratio that qualifies borrowers for loans.
    • Eliminate the 200% collateralization requirement in the MSPLF and increase the maximum loan amount.
    • Permit borrowers of MSLP loans to refinance debt within at least 12 months of the maturity period, revising the present prohibition on refinancing debt until it comes within 90 days of the maturity date.

The Congressional Oversight Commission held a hearing today on the MSLP.  The bipartisan commission is a five-person panel established by the CARES Act to monitor use of coronavirus aid funds. Witnesses at today’s hearing included Federal Reserve Bank of Boston President and CEO Eric Rosengren.  The Commission has released three reports, all of which are available for review at the Congressional Oversight Commission’s website.

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Real Estate Coalition Seeks Expansion of Main Street Lending Program for CRE Borrowers; Hotel Industry Seeks COVID-19 Relief

Posted on by Trey Jackson
The Federal Reserve in Washington, DC
Federal reserve building at Washington D.C. on a sunny day.

A coalition of nine real estate industry groups, including The Real Estate Roundtable, on July 21 submitted a set of recommendations to the Senate Banking Committee aimed at improving the Fed’s Main Street Lending Program (MSLP) for commercial real estate owners and tenants.  The committee is currently reviewing the effectiveness of the MSLP and other Fed credit lending facilities launched to counter the economic repercussions of the COVID-19 crisis. (Real estate coalition letter, July 21)

  • The coalition letter states, “The impact of COVID-19 has been especially devastating to commercial real estate tenants, borrowers and lenders. As our members attempt to navigate the fall-out from this crisis, there is a deficiency of reasonably priced capital sources to address temporary liquidity deficits. Should impacted assets go into foreclosure, a downward spiral follows, affecting jobs, property values, investors at all levels (including pension funds), and state and local tax revenues. The repercussions on communities will be profound and take years from which to recover.”
  • The coalition letter makes a number of recommendations for adapting the MSLP to support real estate. 

AHLA Comment Letter Requests Additional Liquidity Assistance

The American Hotel & Lodging Association (AHLA) sent a letter to the congressional leadership this week requesting additional relief as the leisure and hospitality sector faces the loss of 4.8 million jobs since February.  AHLA is urging Congress to:

  • Provide additional liquidity for severely impacted businesses through a targeted extension of the Paycheck Protection Program (PPP).
  • Establish a Commercial Mortgage Backed Securities (CMBS) market relief fund, with a specific focus on the hotel industry, as part of the Federal Reserve’s lending options.
  • Make structural changes to the Main Street Lending Facility (MSLP) established under the CARES Act to ensure hotel companies can access the program.
  • Include limited liability language to provide a limited safe harbor from exposure liability for hotels that reopen and follow proper public health guidance.
  • Include targeted tax provisions that will benefit severely injured businesses and their employees, including tax credits for capital expenditures or expenses to meet the industry’s Safe Stay initiative.

Moody’s Report Raises Concerns About CMBS Delinquencies for Hotel and Retail

Moody’s reported yesterday that special servicing and late payment volumes have both continued to spike as ongoing COVID-19-related cash flow disruptions severely hinder retail and hotel properties backing commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) loans. 

  • The report shows that significant drops in revenue per available room (RevPAR) and low rent collections among nonessential business have resulted in hotel and retail loans making up more than 91% of special servicing transfers since 1 March. The remaining 9% was primarily office and mixed-use. Mixed-use property types typically included a retail or hotel component.  (Moody’s report, July 23)

Federal Reserve officials are scheduled to meet on July 28 and 29 to discuss how and whether to provide more economic stimulus. They are expected to address interest rates and the status of several credit lending programs, but will likely not release any proposal until the fall.  (Wall Street Journal, July 22)

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Fed Chairman Testifies Congressional Stimulus Measures Should Continue as Main Street Lending Program Launches; Regulators Support Financing to Non-Bank Lenders

Posted on by Trey Jackson

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell told House and Senate policymakers this week that economic support for workers and businesses adversely affected by COVID-19 should continue, adding that until COVID-19 is fully contained, “a full recovery is unlikely.” 

  • Powell testified remotely on June 16 before the Senate Banking Committee and on June 17 before the House Financial Services Committee to deliver his Semiannual Monetary Policy Report to Congress.
  • “It would be wise to look at ways to continue to support people who are out of work and also smaller businesses that may not have vast resources for a period of time…so that we can get through this critical phase,” Powell said. “That support would be well placed at this time.” (Wall Street Journal, June 17 and 18)
  • The Fed Chairman acknowledged some economic indicators have suggested “a modest rebound.” He also cautioned, “That said, the levels of output and employment remain far below their pre-pandemic levels, and significant uncertainty remains about the timing and strength of the recovery.”  (BGov, June 17 and Marketwatch, June 18)
  • During his two days of congressional testimony, Powell defended the Fed’s aggressive purchases of assets and corporate bonds.  “I don’t see us as wanting to run through the bond market like an elephant, doing things and snuffing out price signals,” he said. “We just want to be there if things turn bad in the economy.”  (Bloomberg, June 16)
  • Powell delivered his remarks to Congress after stating last week that the central bank will continue buying large quantities of bonds and leave interest rates near zero through at least 2022.”  (USA Today, June 10)
  • The Fed Chairman also warned that the economic downturn could widen inequalities between rich and poor.  “Low-income households have experienced, by far, the sharpest drop in employment, while job losses of African-Americans, Hispanics and women have been greater than that of other groups,” Mr. Powell said. “If not contained and reversed, the downturn could further widen gaps in economic well-being that the long expansion had made some progress in closing.”  (New York Times, June 16)

Former Federal Reserve Chairs Ben Bernanke and Janet Yellen signed a June 16 letter to congressional leaders, endorsed by more than 150 economic scholars, stating, “Congress must pass another economic recovery package before most of the support in the CARES Act expires this summer.  Congress should address this risk, and the already occurring economic damage, by passing, as soon as possible, a multifaceted relief bill of a magnitude commensurate with the challenges our economy faces.” (Washington Center for Equitable Growth, June 16 statement)

Main Street Lending Program Launches

The Real Estate Roundtable and Nareit on April 22 wrote to Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin and Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell urging that additional measures be adopted to expand the scope of the Main Street Lending Programs (MSLP) to forestall further disruption and economic dislocations in the commercial real estate sector during the pandemic.  (MSLP letter, April 22)

  • On June 8, The Federal Reserve Board expanded its MSLP to allow more small and medium-sized businesses to be able to receive support. (Roundtable Weekly, June 12)
  • This week, the Federal Reserve’s MSLP opened for lender registration.  The Federal Reserve Bank of Boston announced on June 15 that lenders can find the necessary registration documents and are encouraged to begin making Main Street program loans immediately.  (News Release)
  • The program offers five-year loans with floating rates, with principal payments deferred for two years and interest payments deferred for one year. The loans range in size from $250,000 to $300 million to support a broad set of businesses.

The MSLP intends to purchase 95% of each eligible loan that is submitted to the program after meeting all requirements. The Program will also accept loans that were originated under the previously announced terms, if funded before June 10, 2020. 

Regulators Support Financing to Non-Bank Lenders

Federal banking regulators responded favorably this month to a request from a business coalition, including The Real Estate Roundtable, that requested clarifications about financial institutions working with borrowers impacted by COVID-19. (Regulators April 7 guidance—Interagency Statement on Loan Modifications and Reporting for Financial Institutions Working with Customers Affected by the Coronavirus.)

  • The coalition on May 15 wrote to the regulators requesting clarification that – in addition to traditional loan products – lending and financing arrangements, such as warehouse lines and repurchase agreements secured by multifamily and commercial real estate loans and commercial mortgage-related securities, are within the scope of the guidance.  (Coalition May 15 letter)
  • The coalition’s focus was the debt financing extended by commercial banking institutions to non-bank lenders (NBLs) who, in turn, provide mortgage loan funding to commercial and multifamily property owners of all types.  The coalition received two affirmative replies, from Acting Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) Brian P. Brooks on June 4 – and on June 18 from Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) Chairman Jelena McWilliams.

The Roundtable’s Real Estate Capital Policy Advisory Committee (RECPAC) continues to work to address the current crisis, pursuing measures that will enhance liquidity and capital formation, and to help develop an effective insurance program that provides the economy with the coverage it needs to address future pandemics. 

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Talks Continue on Next Phase of Coronavirus Stimulus as Federal Reserve Expands Main Street Lending Program

Posted on by Trey Jackson

The Federal Reserve in Washington, DC

Trump Administration officials are signaling support for another Coronavirus stimulus package that Congress is expected to consider next month.  (Wall Street Journal, June 11)

  • After the House of Representatives on May 22 passed a $3 trillion coronavirus relief bill, congressional Republicans have signaled they may be open to another COVID-19 legislative package, but on a measured basis. (Forbes, May 21 and Roundtable Weekly, May 22) 
  • Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin on June 10 testified before the Senate Small Business and Entrepreneurship Committee: “I definitely think we are going to need another bipartisan legislation to put more money into the economy.  I think whatever we do going forward needs to be much more targeted, particularly to the industries and small businesses that are having the most difficulty in reopening as a result of COVID-19.” (RollCall, June 10)
  • Mnuchin on June 11 responded to a question by Jim Cramer of CNBC’s “Squawk on the Street” about future coronavirus stimulus plans and rental payment pressures faced by commercial real estate.
  • Mnuchin said, “On the commercial side … it is more complicated.  You have companies, particularly in retail, that are having a lot of issues. They are going to have to deal with the rent.  The landlords then have to deal with mortgage payments.”
  • The Treasury Secretary continued, “…how do we help the industries that are especially impacted –- and I would say hotels, travel, entertainment, restaurants are right up there.  So we are going to need to be much more targeted in making sure that we get people back to work and help these industries.”
  • White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett on June 9 said the odds of passing additional coronavirus economic stimulus before Congress breaks for its August recess “are very, very high.”  Hasset added that the issue of business liability protections for employers is one of the “biggest problems” facing passage of another coronavirus package.  (Wall Street Journal, June 9 and Forbes, June 6).
  • Sen. John Cornyn (R-TX) emphasized the GOP’s position on May 18, stating on the Senate floor that “Senate Majority Leader McConnell (R-KY) and I … are working on a proposal that would put common sense reforms in place and protect those acting in good faith from being sued into oblivion.”  (Cornyn statement).  Potential employer immunity and anticipated litigation related to Covid-19 were the focus of a May 12 Senate Judiciary Committee hearing.  (Roundtable Weekly, May 15).
  • Sen. Cornyn this week stated the Republican liability proposal will be released next month. He added the plan would allow employers to choose which government coronavirus safety guidelines to follow while shielding them from lawsuits if their customers or workers contract the virus. (BGov, June 10)

A multi-sector coalition including real estate, tourism, technology, manufacturing, health care, and energy sector groups – led by the U.S. Chamber of Commerce – called upon Congress in a May 27 letter to enact temporary liability protections for businesses struggling to reopen and operate safely during the COVID-19 pandemic. 

Federal Reserve Actions

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell on June 10 stated the central bank will continue buying large quantities of bonds and leave interest rates near zero through at least 2022 as it anticipates the outbreak “will weigh heavily on economic activity” and “poses considerable risks to the economic outlook.”  (USA Today, June 10)

  • Powell added after the Fed’s two-day meeting this week, “This is the biggest economic shock, in the U.S. and the world, really, in living memory.  We went from the lowest level of unemployment in 50 years to the highest level in close to 90 years, and we did it in two months.”  (New York Times, June 10)
  • Powell stated, “To support the flow of credit to households and businesses, over coming months the Federal Reserve will increase its holdings of Treasury securities and agency residential and commercial mortgage-backed securities at least at the current pace to sustain smooth market functioning, thereby fostering effective transmission of monetary policy to broader financial conditions.”  (FOMC statement and Economic Projections, June 10)
  • The Fed has purchased agency mortgage bonds during the pandemic at a record pace totaling $719 billion, more than $12 billion per day on average, according to the New York Fed. (BGov, June 11)
  • On June 8, The Federal Reserve Board on expanded its Main Street Lending Program to allow more small and medium-sized businesses to be able to receive support. The Board expects the Main Street program to be open for lender registration “soon” and to be actively buying loans shortly afterwards. (Fed news release)
  • The Main Street Lending Program was established with the approval of the Treasury Secretary and with $75 billion in equity provided by the Treasury Department from the coronavirus economic relief package, The CARES Act.

The changes include:

  • Lowering the minimum loan size for certain loans to $250,000 from $500,000;
  • Increasing the maximum loan size for all facilities;
  • Increasing the term of each loan option to five years, from four years;
  • Extending the repayment period for all loans by delaying principal payments for two years, rather than one; and
  • Raising the Reserve Bank’s participation to 95% for all loans.
  • This chart has additional details on the changes.
  • Once lenders have successfully registered for the program, they will be encouraged to make Main Street loans immediately. The Main Street Lending Program intends to purchase 95% of each eligible loan that is submitted to the program after meeting all requirements. The Main Street Lending Program will also accept loans that were originated under the previously announced terms, if funded before June 10, 2020.

The Roundtable’s Real Estate Capital Policy Advisory Committee (RECPAC) and Research Committee discussed the Fed’s actions as part of the economic outlook and the state of real estate capital and credit markets during its remote meeting yesterday held in conjunction with The Roundtable’s Virtual Annual Meeting.

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The Fed Expands Main Street Loan Program to Reach More Businesses; Fed Chair Powell Urges Lawmakers to Take Further Fiscal Measures

Posted on by Trey Jackson

Fed Chair Jay Powell

The Federal Reserve yesterday announced an expansion of its $600 billion Main Street Lending Program (MSLP) to help credit flow to small and medium-sized businesses that were in sound financial condition before the pandemic.  (Fed news release and Wall Street Journal, April 30)

  • As part of its broad effort to support the economy, the Fed’s action will assist businesses that were either unable to access the Small Business Administration’s (SBA) Paycheck Protection Program (PPP) or that require additional financial support after receiving a PPP loan. It is important to note that MSLP loans (as opposed to PPP loans) are not forgivable.
  • Three separate facilities make up the MSLP: (1) the Main Street New Loan Facility (MSNLF); (2) the Main Street Priority Loan Facility (MSPLF); and (3) the Main Street Expanded Loan Facility (MSELF). (Steptoe, comparison chart, May 1)

The changes include:

• Creating a third loan option, with increased risk sharing by lenders for borrowers with greater leverage;

• Lowering the minimum loan size for certain loans to $500,000 from $1 million; and

• Expanding the pool of businesses eligible to borrow for businesses that may already have significant debt. 

  • Businesses with up to 15,000 employees or up to $5 billion in annual revenue are now eligible, compared to the initial terms, which were for companies with up to 10,000 employees and $2.5 billion in revenue.
  • According to Steptoe, each MSLP facility uses the same borrower eligibility criteria and have similar commercial components – including the same term (four years), interest rate (LIBOR plus 3%), deferral of principal and interest for one year, and permit prepayment without penalty.  For lenders, the risk retention requirement varies: 5% for the MSNLF and MSELF, and 15% for the MSPLF.
  • The Roundtable and Nariet on April 22 wrote to Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin and Fed Chairman Jay Powell to request specific changes that would enable CRE borrowers to more efficiently access the Main Street New Loan Facility (MSNLF) and Main Street Expanded Loan Facility (MSELF).  (Joint letter, April 22)
  • The joint industry letter addresses (1) Underwriting/ Leverage Limitations/ Loan Size, (2) Distributions/ REITs (3) Loan Terms (4) Applicable Interest Rate Index and (5) Program Timing.

The Fed states that a start date will be announced soon for the MSLP. (Main Street Lending Program FAQs, April 30)

Fed Chairman Powell Recommends More Fiscal Response

Federal Reserve Chair Jay Powell on Wednesday said concerns about the rising national debt should not limit the federal government’s efforts to counter the coronavirus pandemic’s economic impact.

  • After announcing the Fed would leave interest rates near zero, Powell included a rare commentary on fiscal policy, urging lawmakers to pursue do more to support the economy. (Bloomberg, April 29)
  • “This is the time to use the great fiscal power of the United States to do what we can to support the economy,” Powell said.  “The time will come again and reasonably soon I think where we can think about a long-term way to get the fiscal house in order, and we absolutely need to do that … But in my personal view, this is not the time to let that concern … get in the way of us winning this battle,” he stated.  (Video and statements of The Fed’s news conference)
  • Powell added, “I would say that it may well be the case that the economy will need more support from all of us if the recovery is to be a robust one.”  He also noted that “our credit facilities are wide open. We can do more on that front.” (MarketWatch, April 29)
  • The Fed Chairman issued a somber warning of the long-term consequences of the coronavirus economic crisis.  “These thousands of great medium- and small-size businesses are worth so much more to the economy than the sum of their net assets,” Powell said.  (Wall Street Journal, April 29)
  • He added, “It is heartbreaking, frankly, to see that all threatened now.  Everyone is suffering here, but those who are least able to bear it are the ones who are losing their jobs and losing their incomes and have little cushion to protect them.”

Powell added, that the Fed will use its powers “forcefully, proactively, and aggressively until we’re confident that we’re solidly on the road to recovery.”  (Video and statements of The Fed’s news conference)

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The Roundtable and Nareit Request Expansion of The Fed’s “Main Street” Lending Programs to Prevent Further Disruption to CRE Markets

Posted on by Trey Jackson
Facade on the Federal Reserve Building in Washington DC

The scope of the Federal Reserve’s “Main Street” Lending Programs should be expanded to forestall further disruption and economic dislocations in commercial real estate, according to an April 22 letter sent to Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin and Fed Chairman Jay Powell from The Real Estate Roundtable and Nareit. 

  • This week’s letter requests specific changes to the Fed’s Main Street New Loan Facility (MSNLF) and Main Street Expanded Loan Facility (MSELF), both established on April 9.
  • The April 22 letter emphasizes that real estate borrowers, owners and managers now face existential challenges.  The letter states, “At a time when Main Street needs credit, it cannot get it because the secondary markets that provide liquidity to Main Street lenders are clogged.”
     
  • The Roundtable and Nareit urge specific changes to enable CRE borrowers to access the Main Street New Loan Facility (MSNLF) and Main Street Expanded Loan Facility (MSELF).  The joint letter addresses (1) Underwriting/ Leverage Limitations/ Loan Size, (2) Distributions/ REITs (3) Loan Terms (4) Applicable Interest Rate Index and (5) Program Timing.
  • Previous industry letters to the Fed on March 24 and April 14 addressed the need to broaden the range of a separate credit facility – the Term Asset Backed Securities Facility (TALF).  Those letters requested that TALF eligible collateral include both outstanding (legacy) CMBS, commercial mortgage loans and newly issued collateralized loan obligations.  On April 9, the Fed confirmed that the TALF would be expanded to include triple-A rated legacy non-agency CMBS and loans.
  • Since then, as rental income has diminished, conditions in the commercial real estate sector have deteriorated further, causing real estate credit and capital markets to stall.  Therefore, it is important for the Main Street credit facilities to help bring renewed liquidity to commercial and multifamily real estate. 
  • The CARES Act permits financially stressed tenants in properties financed by federally backed loans to postpone rent payments, while several states and municipalities are currently considering additional measures to afford tenants rent forbearance. 

As the Treasury and Fed continue to take positive actions benefiting liquidity for the nation’s economy, the Main Street Lending Programs can be enhanced to support commercial real estate. 

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Industry Requests TALF Expansion to Include a Broader Range of Commercial Real Estate Assets, CMBS; Congressional Efforts Seek to Address Pandemic Business Interruption Insurance Policies

Posted on by Trey Jackson

U.S. Capitol Dome with flag

Six real estate industry organizations, including The Real Estate Roundtable, wrote to federal regulators on April 14 to communicate the urgent and growing need to include a wider range of investment grade commercial real estate debt instruments in the Fed’s Term Asset-Backed Securities Loan Facility (TALF) credit facility. Currently, TALF eligible collateral is limited to triple-A rated tranches of outstanding (legacy) commercial mortgage backed securities (CMBS), commercial mortgage loans and newly issued collateralized loan obligations.  (TALF letter, April 14)

  • The TALF, previously used during the 2008 financial crisis, was relaunched on March 23 in response to the Covid-19 crisis to “enable the issuance of asset-backed securities (ABS) backed by student loans, auto loans, credit card loans, loans guaranteed by the Small Business Administration (SBA), and certain other assets.”  (Fed news release, March 23)
  • Immediately after the TALF was relaunched, an industry coalition on March 24 urged the Federal Reserve, Treasury, and Federal Housing Finance Agency to expand the TALF to include non-agency CMBS – including legacy private-label conduit and single-asset single borrower (SASB) assets. The coalition, which includes The Roundtable, stated the inclusion of private-label assets would stabilize asset prices and shore up the balance sheets of market participants.  (Joint Industry letter, March 24)
  • On April 9, the Federal Reserve announced that it would broaden the range of TALF eligible collateral to include triple-A rated tranches of both outstanding (legacy) CMBS, commercial mortgage loans and newly issued collateralized loan obligations. However, the updated term sheet excludes single-asset single borrower (SASB) CMBS and commercial real estate collateralized loan obligations (CRE CLOs).
  • According to the April 14 letter, “Commercial and multifamily real estate assets that were perfectly healthy just weeks ago now face massive stress and a wave of payment and covenant defaults. As the economy shuts down and American workers face massive layoffs, it is now clear that many tenants will not be able to meet their debt obligations. This will soon cascade through the over $4 trillion commercial real estate debt market and exponentially increase the pressure on the financial system.”

To bolster the health of the CMBS market, the industry coalition recommends the following investment grade instruments be added as eligible TALF assets:

  • Legacy and new issuance, investment grade, non-agency CMBS;
  • Investment grade Agency Credit Risk Transfer (CRT) securities;
  • Legacy and new issuance Single-Asset, Single-Borrower (SASB) CMBS;
  • Commercial real estate (CRE) collateralized loan obligations (CLOs); and
  • U.S. commercial real estate (CRE) first mortgage loans (which have capital charges equivalent to investment grade/NAIC CM 1 and 2 and loans in good standing, or can obtain a rating agency letter confirming that the pledged loan is rated at least single-A).

The coalition letter explains that a broader, deeper, and more effective TALF would complement and minimize the direct lending that will be required of the Federal Reserve’s other credit facilities, which are supported by the $454 billion provided under the CARES Act.

The coalition also notes that expansion of the TALF’s scope and the Fed’s further support of the highly illiquid non-bank financial sector would forestall further disruption and economic dislocations in the commercial real estate sector.

Pandemic Risk Insurance Coverage

Two preliminary legislative proposals in Congress seek to address increasing requests for the property and casualty industry to extend business interruption (BI) insurance policies to cover pandemic risk related claims – and the general lack of pandemic risk commercial insurance availability.

  • A recent effort in the House led by Rep. Carolyn Maloney (D-NY) seeks to develop the Pandemic Risk Insurance Act of 2020 (PRIA), which would create the Pandemic Risk Reinsurance Program. PRIA would seek to create “a system of shared public and private compensation for business interruption losses resulting from future pandemics or public health emergencies.”  (Rep. Maloney Dear Colleague letter, April 10 Roundtable Weekly)
  • Rep. Maloney’s pandemic program would be prospective – not retrospective.  “Like the Terrorism Risk Insurance Act (TRIA), the federal government would serve as a backstop to maintain marketplace stability and to share the burden alongside private industry,” according to Maloney.
  • In the Senate, Sen. Steve Daines (R-MT) is working on a broader concept that is both retrospective and prospective.  Known as the  Workplace Recovery Act, the measure would provide direct retrospective reimbursement through a Federal Automated Security Trust program to every business for operating losses, limited to 90% of past revenues.
  • The Senate proposal would also establish a new government-funded business interruption insurance add-on for every privately administered commercial insurance plan to protect against future national pandemics.
  • The National Association of Insurance Commissioners issued a statement recently warning that such efforts “would create substantial solvency risks for the sector, significantly undermine the ability of insurers to pay other types of claims, and potentially exacerbate the negative financial and economic impacts the country is currently experiencing.” (NAIC statement, March 25)

As with terrorism risk insurance, The Roundtable is working with policymakers and stakeholders to help develop an effective risk insurance program that addresses the economic impact of the current pandemic crisis and provides the economy with the coverage it needs to deal with future pandemic risks. 

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Central Banks Expand Liquidity As Coronovirus Economic Toll Expands; Trump Meets With Hotel CEOs

Posted on by Trey Jackson

Fed Reserve WikiCommons x475

The Federal Reserve and central banks around the world conducted urgent large-scale interventions in capital markets this week to ease strains on economies and investors as the economic toll of the coronavirus expanded dramatically in the U.S.

  • The Fed, the Bank of England, the European Central Bank and central banks in Asia pumped large amounts of liquidity into markets, cut benchmark interest rates and engaged in new bond-buying programs to help arrest the sudden drop in business activity and increase in unemployment rates.  (Wall Street Journal, March 20 and Fed news releases)
  • Fed Chairman Jay Powell said on Sunday, “We are prepared to use our full range of tools to support the flow of credit to households and businesses.”  (Reuters, March 15 and Washington Post, March 20)
  • Additionally, the central bank announced an effort to improve the liquidity of U.S. dollar swaps by increasing the frequency of 7-day maturity operations from weekly to daily – done in coordination with the Bank of Canada, the Bank of England, the Bank of Japan, the European Central Bank, and the Swiss National Bank (Fed Press release)
  • The Fed also announced the creation of numerous lending facilities to backstop the credit market, including the:
    • Money Market Mutual Fund Liquidity Facility (Fed Press release) 
  • To support the issuance of more debt by states and cities in the coming weeks and months, the Fed today announced an expansion of its asset purchases to include municipal bonds – through the Money Market Mutual Fund Liquidity Facility. (Fed Press release).
  • Market interventions by other nations this week included The European Central Bank (ECB), which on March 18 launched an €750 billion ($820 billion) emergency private and public bond program.  Today, Christine Lagarde, President of the ECB, addressed the program’s specifics and other actions the ECB will take.  “We are fully prepared to increase the size of our asset purchase programmes and adjust their composition, by as much as necessary and for as long as needed. We will explore all options and all contingencies to support the economy through this shock,” Lagarde said.  (ECB Blog, March 20)

Hotels and Malls Hit By Coronavirus Economic Shocks

The economic shockwaves of the coronavirus pandemic are quickly affecting operations of major U.S. hotel chains and other aspects of the commercial real estate industry.

  • CEOs of Marriott, Hilton, Hyatt and other chains met Tuesday with President Donald Trump to describe the virus’ impact.
  • Former Roundtable Chairman and Hilton Worldwide CEO Chris Nassetta told the president that Hilton plans to temporarily suspend operations at most of its hotels located in major U.S. cities – and that he expects global occupancy rates to fall to as low as 10%.   (View meeting of Hotel CEOs and President Trump, with transcript, on C-Span)
  • Nassetta added that in Hilton’s 100-year history, it has never closed a hotel except for remodeling or demolition.  “I’ve been doing this for 35 years. Never seen anything like it,” Nassetta told Trump.
  • At the meeting’s conclusion, United States Travel Association President Roger Dow told President Trump, “I would like to put together what everyone has said here.  The numbers are $355 billion is what we’re going to lose, 4.6 million employees will be out of work, and we’re predicting unemployment will go to 6.3 percent.  So, it’s now — it’s serious.” (C-Span video and transcript)
  • Another CRE sector deeply affected by the outbreak is retail.  On March 18, Simon Property Group announced it would temporarily close all of its retail properties, including Malls, Premium Outlets and Mills in the U.S until March 28 to address the spread of COVID-19.  (Simon statement)

The Roundtable is in contact with its membership to assess the widespread repercussions of the crisis and will report its findings to policymakers to help formulate targeted policies to combat the pandemic.

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Fed Poised to Raise Interest Rates Amid Growing Concerns About Escalating Trade Disputes

Posted on by Trey Jackson

Federal Reserve policymakers this week signaled they are likely to raise interest rates next month, after releasing minutes of their most recent Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting showing growing concerns over the economic repercussions from escalating trade disputes. 

Fed Chairman Jerome Powell today delivered remarks on “Monetary Policy in a Changing Economy” at the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City’s annual economic symposium .  (reference:  Powell’s speech, Aug. 24)  

  • Fed Chairman Jerome Powell today delivered remarks on “Monetary Policy in a Changing Economy” at the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City’s annual economic symposium .  Powell said the Fed faces two major risks of “moving too fast and needlessly shortening the expansion, versus moving too slowly and risking a destabilizing overheating.  I see the current path of gradually raising interest rates as the FOMC approach to taking seriously both of these risks.”  ( Powell’s speech , Aug. 24)   
  • As central bankers and economists gathered this week for the symposium, Kansas City Fed President Esther George yesterday told Bloomberg Television, “My own forecast is that it will be appropriate to raise rates a couple more times this year.”  Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan added in a CNBC interview that he sees three or four rate increases necessary over the next nine to 12 months.  
  • FOMC members are aiming to set interest rates to a “neutral” setting — one that neither spurs nor slows economic growth.  Powell’s comments at today’s symposium come after his testimony before the Senate Banking Committee last month, when he stated, “With a strong job market, inflation close to our objective, and the risks to the outlook roughly balanced, the FOMC believes that – for now – the best way forward is to keep gradually raising the federal funds rate,” (Roundtable Weekly, July 20)  
  • Regarding commercial real estate, the FOMC’s meeting minutes released Wednesday show “CRE loans at banks maintained solid growth over the past several quarters, with growth shared across all three major CRE loan categories.”

    • FOMC minutes show growing concern among monetary policymakers over how trade disputes could pose a threat to economic growth.

  • The minutes also show growing concern among monetary policymakers over how trade disputes could pose a threat to economic growth.  “All participants pointed to ongoing trade disagreements and proposed trade measures as an important source of uncertainty and risks.  Participants observed that if a large-scale and prolonged dispute over trade policies developed, there would likely be adverse effects on business sentiment, investment spending, and employment,” according to the  Fed’s minutes.  
  • “Moreover, wide-ranging tariff increases would also reduce the purchasing power of U.S. households.  Further negative effects in such a scenario could include reductions in productivity and disruptions of supply chains,” the minutes continue.  
  • Yesterday, the U.S. and China started implementation of 25 percent tariffs on $16 billion worth of each other’s goods, according to Reuters.  The negative economic impact of tariffs on each state is the focus of a recent U.S. Chamber of Commerce analysis.  (Politico’s Morning Money, Aug. 23)  
  • Commenting on last week’s Q3 Real Estate Roundtable Economic Sentiment Index, Roundtable President and CEO Jeffrey DeBoer noted, “Looking to future market conditions, industry executives are noting uncertainties regarding the November midterm elections and growing interest rate and international trade concerns.  Policymakers must stay focused on developing pro-growth policies that continue to benefit the overall economy and spur job growth.” 

The FOMC’s next meeting is scheduled for Sept. 25-26.  Former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh (2006 to 2011) will address Roundtable members on Sept. 26 during The Roundtable’s Fall Meeting in Washington, DC.