Tag: TCJA

GOP Leaders Debate Strategy for Reconciliation in 2025

Posted on by Abigail Grenadier

Republicans are divided on how to approach a sweeping legislative package in 2025, as debates intensify between House and Senate GOP leaders considering whether to consolidate tax, border security, energy, and defense priorities into a single reconciliation bill or pursue a two-step approach. (TaxNotes, Dec. 12)

The Debate

  • The outcome will shape the GOP’s legislative strategy as they prepare to extend key provisions of the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) and deliver on other campaign promises.  
  • House Ways and Means Committee Chair Jason Smith (R-MO) is advocating for a single reconciliation bill that combines tax policy with border and energy reforms, arguing that this approach maximizes the slim Republican majority’s ability to pass ambitious legislation.
  • Rep. Smith’s stance has put him at odds with incoming Senate Majority Leader John Thune (R-SD), who prefers a two-bill strategy—one focused on border security and energy early in the year, followed by a tax package later. (PoliticoPro, Dec. 11)
  • Sen. Thune, backed by Senate Budget Chair Lindsey Graham (R-SC) and incoming White House policy advisor Stephen Miller, see an early legislative win on immigration as critical to setting the stage for more complex tax negotiations. (Axios, Dec. 9)
  • Rep. Smith, contends that splitting the package could jeopardize tax policy priorities, including extensions of TCJA provisions set to expire at the end of 2025. (Roundtable Weekly, Dec. 6)
  • Failure to act on tax reform by the end of 2025 will lead to the expiration of many provisions of the 2017 tax law, resulting in tax increases for most individuals and some businesses. (Bloomberg, Dec. 3)

View from the Senate

  • While negotiations continue, Sen. Thune said he’s eyeing a “big early win” for President-elect Trump with a party-line push on border security, military and energy provisions. “Failure is not an option as far as tax is concerned.” (Politico, Dec. 11)

View from the House

  • House Majority Leader Steve Scalise (R-LA) said Tuesday House leadership is still deciding on a one- or two-bill strategy, and that they have been meeting with House and Senate members, including Sen. Thune and incoming Senate Finance Committee Chair Mike Crapo (R-ID). He warned it would be challenging to pass multiple budget resolutions. (TaxNotes, Dec. 11)
  • “Donald Trump is the whip right now,” Scalise said, describing how Trump would corral votes from House Republicans. “You don’t have to worry about me; I’m actually a nice guy. The guy at 1600 Pennsylvania is going to send out a tweet, a truth, or whatever, and it’s not going to be as nice.” (TaxNotes, Dec. 11)

Government Funding

  • Members on both sides of the aisle expect the government will stay open past the Dec. 20 shutdown deadline. (GlobeSt. Dec. 11)
  • Lawmakers anticipate leadership will settle on a stopgap measure extending through next March, though some Republicans in both chambers are advocating for a CR that ends sooner to expedite Congress’s funding work. (The Hill, Dec. 11).

Challenges Ahead

  • Narrow majorities: House Republicans can only afford to lose a handful of votes, making consensus critical. Senate Republicans face their own challenges under reconciliation rules requiring compliance with strict budget parameters. (NBC News, Dec. 12)
  • SALT deduction disputes: Republicans from high-tax states like New York and New Jersey are expected to push for raising the $10,000 cap on state and local tax (SALT) deductions, which could complicate efforts to unify the caucus.
  • Economist Stephen Moore, a member of President-elect Trump’s economic advisory transition team, told Bloomberg that expanding the tax write-off limit from $10,000 to $20,000 has been discussed. (TaxNotes, Dec. 11 | Bloomberg, Dec. 12)

What’s Next

  • House Speaker Mike Johnson (R-LA) faces mounting pressure to navigate the narrow majority and align the party’s legislative strategy with President-elect Trump’s priorities.
  • Johnson has indicated flexibility in the approach, noting ongoing discussions with Trump and GOP leaders.
  • House Republicans are preparing to move swiftly in early January, with Budget Committee Chair Jodey Arrington (R-Texas) leading efforts on a budget resolution to lay the groundwork for reconciliation. Arrington has emphasized the need for a streamlined process, warning that delays could jeopardize Republican priorities. (TaxNotes, Dec. 12)
  • Passage of a budget resolution, which is the first key step in the reconciliation process, will be crucial to move forward—a challenge in itself given the slim GOP majority in the House.

The text of the funding bill is anticipated to be released over the weekend or early next week, enabling both chambers to pass the measure before lawmakers adjourn until January.

The Roundtable Shares 2025 Tax Legislative Agenda with Lawmakers

Posted on by Abigail Grenadier

Responding to a request for input from the chairs of the House Ways and Means Committee and Ways and Means Tax Policy Subcommittee, The Real Estate Roundtable submitted comments on the pending expiration of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017 and ways in which tax policy can support long-term investment, economic stability, and the creation of affordable housing. (Letter, Oct. 2)

Roundtable Recommendations

The letter from Roundtable President and CEO Jeffrey DeBoer urges lawmakers to ensure that any major tax legislation in 2025 retain or include:

  • The reduced tax rate on long-term capital gains. The capital gains rate is critical for driving long-term real estate investment and fostering job creation. Raising capital gains rates, taxing unrealized gains, or double-taxing gains at death would deter entrepreneurship, increase costs, and reduce economic mobility.
  • Tax fairness for partnerships and pass-through entities. Half of the nation’s tax partnerships are real estate-related, making these provisions vital to the industry’s success.  Section 199A, which provides a 20% deduction on pass-through business income (including REIT dividend income), allows privately held businesses to compete on a level playing field with large corporations.
  • Like-kind exchanges. Section 1031 allows for the deferral of capital gains through real estate exchanges and helps gets languishing properties into the hands of new owners who will invest in, and improve, them.  Retaining section 1031 is vital to promoting reinvestment in communities, creating opportunities for minority and small business owners, and improving struggling properties.
  • Tax rules that encourage, rather than deter, foreign investment in U.S. real estate. Targeted changes to the outdated and discriminatory Foreign Investment in Real Property Tax Act (FIRPTA) could unlock capital for large-scale real estate and infrastructure projects that create jobs and spur economic development.
  • Incentives for affordable housing, energy efficiency, and community revitalization. The Roundtable supports expanding the low-income housing tax credit (LIHTC), improving the real estate-related clean energy tax provisions in the Inflation Reduction Act, and introducing new incentives for the conversion of obsolete commercial buildings into affordable housing. The letter also calls for a long-term extension of Opportunity Zone (OZ) tax incentives and preserving carried interest tax rules that recognize and reward sweat equity with capital gains treatment.

The Roundtable is committed to working with lawmakers to ensure the U.S. maintains a competitive tax code that encourages capital formation, rewards entrepreneurial risk-taking, and supports critical policy objectives, including accessible and affordable housing and safe and healthy communities.

President Biden Proposes New Housing Incentives, Increased Taxes on Wealthy Individuals and Public Corporations

Posted on by Abigail Grenadier

President Joe Biden’s State of the Union address last night included proposals to levy a 25 percent minimum tax on wealthy individuals, increase the corporate tax rate from 21 to 28 percent, and raise the alternative minimum tax on large corporations from 15 to 21 percent. He also called on Congress to pass legislation to support the construction or rehabilitation of more than 2 million homes and rolled out new tax incentives for homebuyers. (Biden’s Remarks | White House Fact Sheets on Taxes and Housing, March 7)

Proposed Tax Increases

  • Biden proposed to levy a 25 percent minimum tax on those with wealth of more than $100 million. He committed to not raising taxes on those making $400,000 or less while heavily criticizing the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) as a $2 trillion giveaway to high-income households and corporations. (Tax Policy Center | Forbes, March 8)
  • Most of the Biden tax agenda is carried over from his prior budgets and includes provisions that he was unable to pass when Democrats controlled both chambers of Congress. While not detailed in his speech, the White House’s upcoming 2025 budget could include past proposals to raise taxes on real estate like-kind exchanges and carried interest income. (Roundtable Weekly, March 10, 2023)
  • Many provisions from the 2017 tax bill will expire at the end of 2025, including the 20 percent deduction for pass-through business income, the cap on the deductibility of state and local taxes, and the reduction in the top individual tax rate from 39.6 to 37 percent. The approaching expiration of the individual provisions creates a tax “cliff” that is likely to drive tax negotiations next year.

Housing Plan

Real Estate coalition response to President Biden's SOTU housing proposals.
Real estate coalition response to President Biden’s SOTU housing proposals.
  • The White House’s Fact Sheet on housing describes the administration’s plans to establish new tax credits for first-time homebuyers and individuals who sell their starter homes. The tax credit for home sellers seeks to address the “lock-in” effect associated with current high interest rates.The president would also increase spending on affordable housing by Federal Home Loan Banks. (PoliticoPro and White House Fact Sheet on Housing, March 7)
  • The White House Fact Sheet also includes an expansion of the low-income housing tax credit (LIHTC) to support an additional 1.2 million affordable rental units and a new Neighborhood Homes Tax Credit to encourage the construction or preservation of over 400,000 affordable, owner-occupied homes. Bipartisan legislation to expand LIHTC passed the House in January and is pending in the Senate.
  • The National Multifamily Housing Council (NMHC) and nine industry groups responded to the negative aspects of Biden’s housing plan. A coalition letter explained how proposals to limit fee for service arrangements would hurt renters by undermining the administration’s objectives of lowering housing costs, driving new housing development, and creating more affordable rental housing. President Biden has also supported Department of Justice and Federal Trade Commission investigations into rental rate fixing—investigations that many in the industry believe are highly questionable. (NMHC statement and real estate coalition letter, March 7)

Funding Watch

  • After the House passed a spending package this week to fund several federal agencies through September, the Senate has until midnight tonight to pass the bill and avoid a partial government shutdown.
  • Approval from all 100 senators is necessary to fast track the process. The consideration of multiple amendments could delay a final vote until Saturday, necessitating a temporary funding extension to avoid disruption and get the final bill to President Biden for his signature. (The Hill, March 8)

The next government funding deadline is March 22, which requires a new spending package to fund the Pentagon, Health and Human Services, Labor, and other agencies. Policymakers agreed on this two-tiered stopgap funding plan (March 8 and 22) to buy time to negotiate a full-year appropriations bill. (Roundtable Weekly, March 1)

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House Republicans Reintroduce Bill to Make TCJA Deductions and SALT Cap Permanent

Posted on by Trey Jackson

House Ways and Means Committee Vice Chairman Vern Buchanan (R-FL)Tax provisions affecting individuals and small businesses originally enacted as part of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) of 2017—along with the state and local tax (SALT) deduction cap—would be made permanent under legislation reintroduced this month by House Ways and Means Committee Vice Chairman Vern Buchanan (R-FL), above. (The Bond Buyer, Feb. 13 and Legislative Text)

The TCJA Permanency Act

  • Buchanan’s bill (H.R.976) includes a Roundtable-supported provision to make permanent the 20 percent deduction for qualified pass-through business income (Section 199A). The legislation would also permanently lower tax rates for individuals and families and maintain the higher standard deduction.
  • There are currently 83 co-sponsors of The TCJA Permanency Act. Buchanan has led five of the six Ways and Means Subcommittees and currently sits on the Joint Committee on Taxation, a small group of the most senior tax policy writers in Congress. (Buchanan news release, Feb. 13)
  • Without Congressional action, 23 different provisions of the 2017 Republican tax law are set to expire after 2025, including the SALT deduction cap. Buchanan originally filed legislation to make the TCJA cuts permanent last September during the Democratic-controlled 117th Congress.
  • Buchanan stated that funding for the Federal Aviation Administration could be a legislative vehicle to attach the TCJA bill, since no major standalone tax bills are expected this year. (BGov, Feb. 23)

SALT Caucus Relaunched

SALT Caucus 2023

  • ​More than 20 members of the House relaunched the SALT Caucus this month as part of their push to repeal the $10,000 cap limit on the federal deduction for state and local taxes. (News conference video, Feb. 8 and Tax Notes, Feb. 9)
  • The cap is scheduled to sunset after 2025, but SALT caucus members want relief sooner while pledging to fight attempts to extend the cap. (Rep. Gottheimer news release, Feb. 9)
  • “I like the odds of having a bunch of new Republicans from states that need to restore SALT,” said SALT Caucus Co-Chair Josh Gottheimer (D-NJ). “So if you want to talk, this is the caucus to talk to to get this done, to restore SALT and make life more affordable.” (Roll Call, Feb. 8)

More than 30 states and local jurisdictions have enacted a SALT workaround for pass-through businesses, S-corporations, and some LLCs. (CNBC video Feb. 13)

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Bipartisan lawmakers unveil “Invest in America Act”

Posted on by Trey Jackson

Legislation would spur American job creation and investment in U.S. communities, infrastructure and Opportunity Zones

 
(WASHINGTON, DC) — The American Institute of Architects (AIA) and The Real Estate Roundtable (RER) are pledging support for the “Invest in America Act” (H.R. 2210), which was unveiled yesterday afternoon by U.S. Reps. John Larson (D-CT) and Kenny Marchant (R-TX).
 
The legislation has the potential to create as many as 284,000 American jobs and attract as much as $125 billion in global investment in U.S. communities, which would support addressing America’s aging buildings and crumbling infrastructure. 
 
The legislation does so by repealing the “Foreign Investment in Real Property Tax Act” (FIRPTA). Originally enacted in 1980, FIRPTA is an arcane tax that deflects global capital from U.S. cities and towns by imposing a capital gains tax on global investors that finance any U.S. real property. Consequently, the law greatly inhibits state and local leaders from partnering with global investors—in addition to leveraging domestic partners—to improve their communities, including renovating aging buildings; constructing roads, bridges, tunnels, hospitals and airports; developing affordable housing; and utilizing new Opportunity Zones.
 
“Under current law, global investment is discouraged in the United States and investors are driven to other countries,” said AIA EVP/Chief Executive Officer Robert Ivy, FAIA. “This legislation will put the U.S. on equal footing in the competition for investment dollars, which can be put directly into American communities through partnerships with local and state governments. This will result in meaningful jobs not only for architects but other professionals in design and construction as well as manufacturing and service industries.”
 
A partial repeal of FIRPTA occurred in 2015 with passage of the “Protecting Americans from Tax Hikes Act.” Changes to the law increased global investment in U.S. cities of all sizes and locations by 33 percent, proving that a full repeal would have a significant benefit to many more state and local economies. 
 
“The FIRPTA regime is an anti-competitive outlier that deflects global capital to other countries,” said RER President and CEO Jeffrey DeBoer. “Our infrastructure challenges demand a holistic approach and innovative solutions. Now is the time to build on the recent success of the 2015 reforms by eliminating FIRPTA outright and unlocking private capital for even more job growth and infrastructure improvements.”
 
Learn more about the legislation by visiting the Invest in America Coalition’s website.
 

Bipartisan lawmakers unveil “Invest in America Act

Posted on by Trey Jackson

Legislation would spur American job creation and investment in U.S. communities, infrastructure and Opportunity Zones

 
(WASHINGTON, DC) — The American Institute of Architects (AIA) and The Real Estate Roundtable (RER) are pledging support for the “Invest in America Act” (H.R. 2210), which was unveiled yesterday afternoon by U.S. Reps. John Larson (D-CT) and Kenny Marchant (R-TX).
 
The legislation has the potential to create as many as 284,000 American jobs and attract as much as $125 billion in global investment in U.S. communities, which would support addressing America’s aging buildings and crumbling infrastructure. 
 
The legislation does so by repealing the “Foreign Investment in Real Property Tax Act” (FIRPTA). Originally enacted in 1980, FIRPTA is an arcane tax that deflects global capital from U.S. cities and towns by imposing a capital gains tax on global investors that finance any U.S. real property. Consequently, the law greatly inhibits state and local leaders from partnering with global investors—in addition to leveraging domestic partners—to improve their communities, including renovating aging buildings; constructing roads, bridges, tunnels, hospitals and airports; developing affordable housing; and utilizing new Opportunity Zones.
 
“Under current law, global investment is discouraged in the United States and investors are driven to other countries,” said AIA EVP/Chief Executive Officer Robert Ivy, FAIA. “This legislation will put the U.S. on equal footing in the competition for investment dollars, which can be put directly into American communities through partnerships with local and state governments. This will result in meaningful jobs not only for architects but other professionals in design and construction as well as manufacturing and service industries.”
 
A partial repeal of FIRPTA occurred in 2015 with passage of the “Protecting Americans from Tax Hikes Act.” Changes to the law increased global investment in U.S. cities of all sizes and locations by 33 percent, proving that a full repeal would have a significant benefit to many more state and local economies. 
 
“The FIRPTA regime is an anti-competitive outlier that deflects global capital to other countries,” said RER President and CEO Jeffrey DeBoer. “Our infrastructure challenges demand a holistic approach and innovative solutions. Now is the time to build on the recent success of the 2015 reforms by eliminating FIRPTA outright and unlocking private capital for even more job growth and infrastructure improvements.”
 
Learn more about the legislation by visiting the Invest in America Coalition’s website.
 

Senate Democrats and House Republicans Urge Tax Policy Correction for Real Estate Improvements’ Cost Recovery Period

Posted on by Trey Jackson

Two recent letters – one from 16 Democratic Senators to Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin and the other from 58 House Republicans to GOP leadership – urge policymakers to fix an unintentional drafting mistake in last year’s tax overhaul that mistakenly increased the cost recovery period for qualified improvement property (QIP).  (House Letter, Oct 2 and Senate Letter, Sept 24) 

The tax policy drafting error currently affects leasehold improvements, expenditures made to improve common spaces in shopping centers and office buildings, and other interior improvements to nonresidential structures.

  • The drafting error in the tax law has resulted in a significantly longer 39-year cost recovery period for new, qualified nonresidential interior improvements.  The original intent of Congress was to allow the immediate expensing of QIP – or provide a 20-year recovery period in the case of taxpayers electing out of new limitations on the deductibility of business interest.  
  • The mistake currently affects leasehold improvements, expenditures made to improve common spaces in shopping centers and office buildings, and other interior improvements to nonresidential structures.  The current, longer cost recovery period effectively increases the after-tax cost of upgrading and improving commercial real estate.  (“Correcting the Drafting Error Involving the Expensing of Qualified Improvement Property” – The Tax Foundation , May 30)     
  • In Monday’s joint letter to House Speaker Paul Ryan (R-WI) and House Ways and Means Committee Chairman Kevin Brady (R-TX), 58 House Republican members state, “While they wait for Congress to act to correct this error, these businesses are forgoing renovations, halting plans to revitalize declining malls, and placing safety improvements on hold.  Not only does this hurt restaurants and retailers, but also the businesses involved in the planning and renovations, and ultimately our communities.  
  • This week’s House letter urges GOP leadership to address the QIP investment drafting error via legislation, while also recommending that Treasury should issue interim guidance while refraining from enforcing the drafting error.  

    Congress could address the issue during the lame duck congressional session between the mid-term election and January.

  • In the Sept. 24 joint letter to Secretary Mnuchin, 16 Senate Democrats address the need for a QIP correction, stating: “Improper implementation of this portion of the 2017 law would cause disruption to a wide range of industries, including the nation’s retail, restaurant and commercial property industries. Given this, and the potential for considerable harm to local economies, we believe it would be prudent for Treasury to address this issue and its interpretation through guidance.” 
  • The Real Estate Roundtable and a broad-based business coalition urged Secretary Mnuchin in August to issue guidance clarifying certain provisions included in tax overhaul legislation enacted last year – including the cost recovery period for qualified improvement property. (Coalition letter, Aug. 22) 
  • Roundtable President and CEO Jeffrey DeBoer stated, “In 2015, Congress voted overwhelmingly to permanently extend the 15-year recovery period for certain property improvements.  By passing tax reform, Congress intended to consolidate those changes.  Treasury should now use its authority to provide taxpayers with relief until a technical corrections bill is enacted.  Treasury guidance will remove taxpayer uncertainty, unlock investment, and spur job-creating property upgrades and renovations.”  (Roundtable Weekly, Aug. 24)

Congress could address the issue during the lame duck congressional session between the mid-term election and January. A number of tax issues are outstanding, including tax reform technical corrections and expired tax provisions.

 

Senate GOP Taxwriters Request Treasury Secretary Mnuchin to Clarify Cost Recovery Period for Real Estate Improvements

Posted on by Trey Jackson

Senate Finance Committee Republicans yesterday sent a letter to Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin and Acting IRS Commissioner David Kautter requesting clarifications to the tax overhaul legislation enacted last year – including guidance related to a drafting error that unintentionally pushed the cost recovery period for qualified property improvements (QIP) from 15 to 39 years. (The Hill, Aug. 16)

The August 16 letter, signed by all Republican members of the Finance Committee and Chairman Orrin Hatch (R-UT), urges Treasury and the IRS to “issue guidance that is consistent with the congressional intent” of the new tax law regarding QIP expensing and two other tax policy areas. 
  • The unintentional drafting mistake has resulted in a longer cost recovery period for qualified nonresidential interior improvements – a category that previously covered leasehold improvements, retail improvements, and new restaurant construction.  (” Correcting the Drafting Error Involving the Expensing of Qualified Improvement Property” – The Tax Foundation, May 30) 
  • As a result of the mistake, businesses across the country are delaying, or significantly reducing, capital expenditures for building improvements, undermining job creation and economic activity.  
  • The August 16 letter, signed by all Republican members of the Finance Committee and Chairman Orrin Hatch (R-UT), urges Treasury and the IRS to “issue guidance that is consistent with the congressional intent” of the new tax law regarding QIP expensing and two other tax policy areas. 
  • On the depreciation of real property, the letter notes: “[I]n eliminating the separate definitions of qualified leasehold improvement, qualified restaurant, and qualified retail improvement property and providing a new single definition of qualified improvement property, the language…failed to designate qualified improvement property as 15-year property under the modified accelerated cost recovery system (“MACRS”).  In addition, there is a typographical error in a cross-reference identifying qualified improvement property as property which is recovered over 20 years under the alternative depreciation system (“ADS”).  Congressional intent was to provide a 15-year MACRS recovery period and a 20-year ADS recovery period for qualified improvement property. Such intent is set forth in the Conference Report to accompany (the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act ).” ( H.R. Rep. 115-466, at p. 366).”  
  • During a February hearing in the House, Treasury Secretary Mnuchin testified about the QIP issue: “I am aware of the error and it obviously was unintended. We are looking at whether there is anything we can do with regulations. I think it is likely that this is something that may need to be fixed in the bill. We look forward to working with you.” (Ways and Means Committee – Mnuchin’s testimony and hearing video and Roundtable Weekly, June 1) 
  • The letter, signed by Senate Finance Committee Chairman Orrin Hatch (R-UT) and other GOP tax writers, states they will also introduce legislation to correct unintentional mistakes in the new tax, although support from Democrats would be needed to pass such a bill.  An amendment (# 3597) introduced July 26 by Sen. Pat Toomey (R-PA) to an appropriations bill (H.R. 6147) would have corrected the QIP drafting error, but did not receive a vote.  

The letter also notes that the Finance Committee continues to review the law for potential areas that may require regulatory guidance or technical corrections: “After this review, we intend to introduce technical corrections legislation to address any items identified.”  (Senate Finance Committee News Release, Aug. 16)

Ways & Means Launches Hearings on Impact of Tax Reforms; Top Treasury Official Outlines Timeline for Implementation Guidance

Posted on by Trey Jackson

The House Ways and Means Committee this week held the first in a series of hearings on how the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) is affecting job creation and the economy five months after its enactment.

House Ways and Means Chairman Kevin Brady (R-TX) in his  opening statement offered a list of favorable economic statistics and projections that he said are attributable to the new law

Treasury Assistant Secretary Sketches Timetable for Regulations Implementing Tax Reform 
Certain provisions of the TCJA of interest to commercial real estate could be addressed in upcoming IRS guidance or in a congressional technical corrections bill.

  • Acting IRS Commissioner David Kautter on May 12 said that Treasury and the IRS hope to complete proposed regulations on section 199A passthrough deduction by mid- to late-July. (Tax Notes, May 15, “Kautter Talks Timelines for TCJA Guidance Projects” and Roundtable Weekly, May 4).
  • Kautter added that the target date for a notice of proposed rulemaking on section 163(j) business interest deduction limitation is late summer or early fall. (Roundtable Weekly, April 6).)
  • Natalie Tucker, legislation tax accountant at the Joint Committee on Taxation, recently  said that the cost-recovery period for qualified improvement property rises to the level of consideration for a “technical correction.”  While Congress was formulating the TCJA, a new category—qualified improvement property—wasn’t assigned a cost-recovery period, and fell to the 39-year period by default, rather than the intended 15-year period.  That was not the intent of Congress and therefore qualifies for inclusion in a technical corrections bill, according to Tucker.  (Bloomberg Law, May 11, “Agreement Reached on Three ‘True’ Technical Corrections”)

Along with TCJA rulemaking and implementation, the legislation’s impact on CRE will be a focus of discussion at The Roundtable’s Annual Business Meeting and Policy Advisory Committee Meetings on June 14-15 in Washington, DC.

New Reports Measure Impact of Tax Reform on Real Estate Investment and CRE’s Impact on National, State Economies

Posted on by Trey Jackson

Tax reform enacted late last year will cause investment in nonresidential structures to increase by an average of more than $23 billion from 2019-2028, and rise nearly $10 billion this year alone, according to new projections released Monday by the Congressional Budget Office (CBO).  (The Budget and Economic Outlook: 2018 to 2028, April 9)

CBO chart: Effects of the 2017 Tax Act on Investment Through Changes in Incentives affecting Nonresidential and Residential Structures. Click to Enlarge— Page 119 of  full CBO Report

The new report isolates and analyzes the impact of recent tax reform legislation on different types of economic activity, including investment in structures. 

Tax reform’s positive impact on nonresidential investment stems from the corporate and individual rate reductions, as well as the new pass-through deduction.  Combined, these changes reduce the user cost of capital.  Cost recovery rules for structures were largely unchanged in the recent tax policy changes.

CBO projects tax reform will have a dampening effect on investment in residential housing: -$9 billion in 2018, and an average of -$13 billion annually from 2019-2028.  These numbers reflect the combined, net effect of a reduction in investment in owner-occupied housing and an increase in investment in rental housing.  Limitations on the deductibility of property taxes and mortgage interest are putting downward pressure on investment in owner-occupied housing.  Rental property investment, in contrast, benefits from the same tax reforms that affect nonresidential investment. 

As a nonpartisan arm of Congress, CBO’s annual economic and budget outlook is widely watched by the private sector for indications of how recent policy changes are affecting the overall economy.

CBO: Trillion Dollar Deficits by 2020

According to the report, borrowing to fund tax cuts and increased spending will also send deficits soaring past $1 trillion in the coming years and increase the overall debt burden to 96 percent of GDP by 2028.  (The Hill, April 9)

Under the  recent $1.3 trillion spending agreement, defense and non-defense spending will increase by nearly $300 billion over the next two years.  (Roundtable Weekly, March 23)

Although economic growth is projected by CBO to rise to 3.3 percent in 2018 – much higher than the 2.6 percent recorded last year – the estimated growth rate will decrease to 2.4 percent in 2019, followed by a drop to an average of just over 1.7 percent for the subsequent eight years of the ten-year budget period.  (The Washington Post, April 10)

Deficits are also forecast to climb dramatically.  CBO anticipates a deficit of $804 billion in 2018 (43 percent higher than it projected just last June, prior to the tax bill and spending agreement).  The amount of debt held by the public will approach 100 percent of GDP over the next ten years, an amount far greater than any period since World War II.  (CNN, April 11)

NAIOP: Building Accounts for 18.0 % of National Economic Activity in 2017

According to the   NAIOP report , combining residential and nonresidential buildings,  as well as infrastructure, the total impact of construction spending (direct, indirect and induced) – accounted for 18.0 percent of all the nation’s economic activity in 2017. 

In related news, a report recently published by the NAIOP Research Foundation shows that commercial real estate in 2017 supported 7.6 million American jobs and contributed $935.1 billion to the nation’s GDP.  (Economic Impacts of Commercial Real Estate, 2018 Edition, NAIOP)

The annual study, authored by economist Stephen S. Fuller, Ph.D, measures the contributions to GDP, salaries and wages generated, and jobs created and supported from the development and operations of commercial real estate – and includes detailed data on commercial real estate development activity in all 50 states. 

According to the study, combining residential and nonresidential buildings (warehouse/industrial, office, retail, health care, entertainment, education, public safety, religious and lodging) – as well as infrastructure for water, sewer, highways and power, the total impact of construction spending (direct, indirect and induced) — accounted for 18.0 percent of all the nation’s economic activity in 2017.

“The importance of commercial development to the U.S. economy is well established, and the industry’s growth is critical to creating new jobs, improving infrastructure, and creating places to work, shop and play,” said Thomas Bisacquino, NAIOP president and CEO.  (NAIOP news release).

CRE as a driving force of national economic growth, as well as tax reform’s impact on the industry, will be a focus of The Roundtable’s April 25, 2018 Spring Meeting, which will feature  Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) and other key policymakers.