Tag: Tax Policy

Major Tax and Fiscal Package Gains Momentum as House Passes Budget Resolution

Posted on by Abigail Grenadier

House Republicans’ effort to pass a massive tax and fiscal package received a jolt of momentum this week after a cliffhanger vote on the House floor Tuesday night. Passed by a narrow vote of 217-215, the House resolution would authorize $4.5 trillion in tax cuts, provided congressional committees can identify $2 trillion in spending reductions. 

House Budget Proposal

  • Under the deal negotiated with fiscal conservatives in the House, if congressional committees cannot agree on $2 trillion in savings, the size of the authorized tax cut will automatically adjust downwards.  If they can agree on more than $2 trillion in savings, the size of the authorized tax cuts would adjust higher. (House Committee Report, Feb. 18)
  • The House resolution also includes a controversial $4 trillion increase in the national borrowing limit, along with allocations of up to $200 billion for border security and $100 billion for defense funding. (Roll Call, Feb. 25; AP, Feb. 25))
  • Shortly before the vote, The Roundtable joined a broad business coalition urging Congress to pass the House budget resolution to prevent a looming tax hike on pass-through businesses.  (Letter, Feb. 24)

Next Steps

  • Both the House and Senate chambers must now align on a budget resolution before moving forward with a reconciliation bill detailing the spending cuts, tax reductions, and other measures.
  • Senate Republicans have expressed reservations about the House’s approach, particularly concerning the scale of spending cuts and the structure of tax extensions.
  • Senate leaders have already signaled they will push for changes to ensure the 2017 tax cuts become permanent, as the House plan may lack the fiscal room to do so while also accommodating President Trump’s proposed new tax breaks.
  • Senate Majority Leader John Thune emphasized the complexity of the task, stating, “It’s complicated. It’s hard. Nothing about this is going to be easy.” (The Hill, Feb. 27)

View from The White House

  • For weeks, the president has endorsed the House plan as the best way to achieve his top legislative priorities in one move, yet he has also signaled openness to the Senate’s alternative or a compromise blending both approaches.
  • “So the House has a bill and the Senate has a bill, and I’m looking at them both, and I’ll make decisions,” President Trump said at the White House on Tuesday. “I know the Senate’s doing very well, and the House is doing very well, but each one of them has things that I like, so we’ll see if we can come together.”

Revenue Offsets and Business SALT

  • Some lawmakers have raised “Business SALT” and potential restrictions on the deductibility of state and local property taxes as a possible revenue offset for the tax bill. 
  • Eliminating the business deduction for property taxes would be the equivalent of raising property tax bills on commercial real estate by roughly 40 percent. 
  • “Business taxes are fundamentally different from state and local individual income taxes.  State and local business taxes are an unavoidable expense, an inescapable cost of doing business,” observed Real Estate Roundtable President and CEO Jeffrey DeBoer last week.  (Roundtable Weekly, Feb. 21)
  • “Employers would owe federal tax on money that they do not have.  It would lead to insolvencies and foreclosures. It would cause self-inflicted injury to the U.S. economy, including unnecessary job losses, higher rents for families and individuals, and other inflationary pressures.  It is a recipe for a recession,” said DeBoer.
  • It remains an open question whether the House and Senate will use a “current policy” budget baseline that would not count the extension of the 2017 tax cuts as a revenue loss.  A current policy baseline could significantly reduce the pressure to identify spending reductions and revenue offsets. (PoliticoPro, Feb. 28)

Averting Government Shutdown

  • In addition to the tax and fiscal package, congressional leaders are under pressure to reach an agreement on current-year federal spending before a government shutdown on March 14.  A short-term stopgap bill will likely be necessary. (Axios, Feb. 27, CBS, Feb. 27)

Looking Ahead

The House budget resolution directs House committees to report their spending reductions and tax changes to the House Budget Committee no later than March 27, 2025.

Real Estate Challenges: Business SALT, Carried Interest Emerge as Focal Points of Tax and Budget Discussions

Posted on by Cole Kline

As congressional Republicans weigh their budget options and consider competing plans from both the House and Senate, their search for revenue offsets has included proposals to restrict the deduction for state and local taxes (SALT) on businesses and raise the tax rate on carried interest. 

Business SALT

  • Prior to the markup of its budget resolution, the House Budget Committee floated a menu of potential revenue offsets for reconciliation legislation, including a proposal to “eliminate the business SALT deduction.” (New York Times, Jan. 28)

  • Depending on how broadly the business SALT limitation is designed, it could include repealing the deductibility of state and local property taxes paid by commercial real estate owners.  Hill discussions on business SALT have intensified in recent weeks.  (Bloomberg, Feb. 18)
     
  • “Eliminating the business deduction for property taxes would be the equivalent of raising business owners’ property tax bills by roughly 40 percent.  Employers would owe federal tax on money that they do not have.  It would lead to insolvencies and foreclosures. It would cause self-inflicted injury to the U.S. economy, including unnecessary job losses, higher rents for families and individuals, and other inflationary pressures.  It is a recipe for a recession,” said Jeffrey DeBoer, President and CEO of The Real Estate Roundtable.

  • The idea of limiting business SALT has support from several outside organizations and, according to Politico, was initially floated by members of the House Freedom Caucus.  (Politico, Jan. 15)

  • “Business taxes are fundamentally different from state and local individual income taxes.  State and local business taxes are an unavoidable expense, an inescapable cost of doing business,” noted DeBoer. “Property taxes alone are, on average, 40% of operating costs for real estate businesses.  In many cases, capping the deductibility of property taxes would require businesses to pay income tax when their actual income and cash flow is negative.”

  • The Roundtable is working, alongside its real estate trade association partners, to raise awareness among policymakers of the risk and harm that a cap on business SALT poses for the industry and the broader economy.  

Carried Interest

  • President Trump’s recent call on Congress to close the “carried interest tax deduction loophole” has put a national spotlight back on the issue of carried interest and its proper tax treatment.  (Financial Times, Feb. 6)  

  • Trump’s expression of support for raising taxes on carried interest led Senators Tammy Baldwin (D-WI), Elizabeth Warren (D-MA), Bernie Sanders (I-VT) and others to reintroduce legislation, the Carried Interest Fairness Act. The bill would recharacterize all carried interest as ordinary income. (Politico, Feb. 18)

  • Sen. Baldwin filed a nonbinding amendment on carried interest during the Senate budget resolution debate this week but did not offer it for a formal vote.  

  • Carried interest emerged as a political issue in 2007, but remains largely misunderstood to this day. In real estate, carried interest is not compensation for services. General partners receive fees, taxed at ordinary rates, for routine services like leasing and property management. Carried interest is granted for the value the general partner adds, such as business acumen, experience, and relationships. It is also recognition for the risks the general partner takes.   

  • In response to the new legislation, the Americans for Tax Reform—alongside a broad coalition of other taxpayer advocacy groups—penned a comment letter urging lawmakers to consider the negative ramifications of this policy.

  • In the letter, the organizations argue that the proposal would discourage investment and reduce growth, urging Congress to oppose the bill. “The current tax treatment of carried interest is an intentional, pro-growth feature of the tax code for more than 100 years that incentivizes risk-taking and entrepreneurship, benefiting investors, public pension funds and retirees.” (Americans for Tax Reform, Feb. 19)

  • The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017 extended the holding period required for carried interest income to qualify for long-term capital gains treatment from one year to three years.

  • The false narrative surrounding the carried interest issue is that it targets only a handful of hedge fund billionaires and Wall Street executives. The carried interest legislation is far broader and would apply to real estate partnerships of all sizes.

  • “Taxing carried interest at ordinary income rates would discourage the risk taking that drives job creation and economic growth. It would reduce economic mobility by increasing the tax burden on cash-poor entrepreneurs who want to retain an ownership interest in their business. It would have profound unintended consequences for housing affordability and main streets all across our country,” said DeBoer.

Looking Ahead

As tax negotiations develop, RER will continue to engage with congressional leaders on both sides of the aisle to inform policymakers about the real-world consequences of proposed changes to the deductibility of business SALT and tax treatment of carried interest.  

While the budget debate will move forward, it will likely be several weeks, if not months, before the tax-writing committees mark-up and vote on the actual details of their tax and revenue legislation.

House GOP Unveils Fiscal Blueprint Calling for Trillions in Cuts to Taxes and Spending

Posted on by Abigail Grenadier

After weeks of discussions, the House GOP and Speaker Mike Johnson unveiled their long-term budget blueprint, which would allow congressional committees to move forward with trillions into tax cuts and spending reductions. However, negotiations to fund the government ahead of the March 14 deadline have stalled.

Committee Advances Budget Plan

  • The House Budget Committee voted late Thursday night 21-16 to advance their budget resolution, which authorizes up to $4.5 trillion in tax cuts and $2 trillion in spending cuts over the next decade. The fiscal blueprint also calls for $300 billion in new border and defense spending and a two-year extension of the debt ceiling. (Politico, Feb. 12)
  • While Speaker Mike Johnson hopes to bring the resolution to the floor later this month, there are a number of details to hammer out that could hinder its passage. Overcoming the GOP’s extremely narrow majority in the House (218-215) will be a challenge.
  • House Budget Republicans secured passage of their resolution along party lines after striking a deal with the Freedom Caucus to win over fiscal hardliners Reps. Ralph Norman (R-SC) and Chip Roy (R-TX). (Roll Call, Feb. 13)

  • An amendment from Vice Chair Lloyd Smucker (R-PA) cemented the agreement by linking the size of a future tax-cut package to spending reductions. Under the modified resolution, the amount of the tax cuts would be reduced if the legislation does not include the full $2 trillion in spending reductions.

Tax Negotiations

  • House Ways and Means Chair Jason Smith (R-MO) also faces a difficult road to extend key provisions in the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA). The $4.5 trillion figure for tax cuts is not enough to permanently extend the TCJA and include President Trump’s other tax priorities. (Politico, Feb. 12)

  • How to come up with the spending cuts to fund a permanent TCJA extension and other priorities remains a fundamental question. The budget package is expected to include significant reductions in Medicaid, which provides health benefits to low-income families and individuals.  President Trump has expressed concern with those health care cuts. (Politico, Feb. 13)
  • Some estimates place the cost of the President’s additional tax priorities as high as $2 trillion. These include exempting tips, overtime pay, and Social Security benefits from tax. Tax-writers must also find a way to pay for any adjustments to the SALT limitation, which are widely understood as needed to secure Blue State Republican votes in the House. 
  • Tax-writers are expected to look for other tax offsets, raising concerns that they could target issues such as the deductibility of state and local property taxes paid by businesses.
  • Limits on the deductibility of property taxes would upend the federal income tax by denying a deduction for a basic cost of doing business. It would severely hurt property values, real estate markets, and the millions of Americans employed directly and indirectly by the real estate industry.
  • “Capping or eliminating the federal deduction for business property taxes would be a major policy misstep,” said Roundtable President and CEO Jeffrey DeBoer. “Property taxes are not optional—they are a fundamental cost of doing business.”
  • “This change would force businesses to pay federal tax on money they never actually receive, placing a heavy burden on real estate investment and development. The impact would be severe for property owners repositioning assets—such as converting office buildings into housing—where property taxes remain due even when rental income is disrupted. Losing this deduction would drive up operating costs, which would ultimately be passed to consumers through higher rents, and hindering economic growth at a time when we should be encouraging investment and revitalization,” said DeBoer.
  • House Republicans are also considering shorter extensions of the expiring tax cuts in a bid to fit them into the budget plan’s constraints.
  • However, in a letter released Thursday, Senate Republican leaders, including Majority Leader John Thune (R-SD), Finance Chair Mike Crapo (R-ID) and seven others, said they would not support a tax package that only provides temporary relief from tax hikes. They said that any extension of the provisions due to lapse at the end of this year “must” be permanent. (Politico, Feb. 13)
  • Meanwhile, congressional Democrats have attacked Republican’s tax and spending cuts as a “betrayal of the middle class,” though they have minimal power to stop the GOP’s budget plan if Republicans are able to align on a strategy. (Politico, Feb. 13)

Reconciliation

  • To avoid the Senate filibuster, the tax and spending cuts will require the House and Senate to pass identical budget resolutions as part of the reconciliation process—and the Senate is pursuing its own budget proposal. (Politico, Feb. 12)

  • On Wednesday, the Senate Budget Committee approved its own budget blueprint, which includes up to $345 billion in funding for border security, immigration enforcement and defense. However, the resolution punts on any sweeping tax and spending cuts. (Washington Times, Feb. 12)

  • Preferring a two-step strategy over the House Republican’s plan, Senate Budget Chair Lindsey Graham (R-SC) said, “To my colleagues in the House, I hope you can pass one, big beautiful bill.” “But we’ve got to move on this issue.” (Politico, Feb. 12)

  • The March 14 deadline to fund the government is fast approaching. House Appropriations Chair Tom Cole (R-OK) indicated that negotiations are ongoing, but with much activity and attention focused on budget resolutions, little progress has been made.
  • If congressional leaders are unable to extend government funding before the deadline, key programs like the National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) could lapse. (Politico, Feb. 12)

Looking Ahead

While the Senate will be in session next week after President’s Day, the House is out of session until February 24. The Roundtable will continue to follow developments on tax and budget negotiations closely.

Tax Policy This Week in Washington: Carried Interest and Budget Talks

Posted on by Abigail Grenadier

As budget negotiations continued this week in the House and Senate, President Donald Trump met with Republican lawmakers on Thursday to discuss his tax priorities.

Tax Talks

  • White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt told reporters that during a Thursday meeting with Republican lawmakers, President Trump outlined his tax priorities, including closing the “carried interest tax deduction loophole,” along with other provisions he wants included in a sweeping tax bill this year. (Bloomberg, Feb. 6 | Axios, Feb.7)
  • President Trump also reiterated ideas he promoted on the campaign trail, including ending taxes on tips, overtime and Social Security payouts, as well as adjusting deductions for state and local taxes.
  • Appearing on Fox Business this week, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent rejected the idea of a short-term extension of President Trump’s tax cuts, emphasizing they should be made permanent. (Fox Business, Feb. 5)

The Roundtable’s Position

  • Since carried interest and its tax treatment first emerged as a controversial political issue in 2007, The Roundtable has consistently opposed legislative proposals to tax all carried interest at ordinary income rates.
  • “The proposals would penalize entrepreneurs, slow housing production, and reduce economic mobility,” said Roundtable President and CEO Jeffrey DeBoer.  “The tax code has never, and should never, limit the reward for risk-taking only to deep-pocketed investors who have cash to deploy.” 
  • “Real estate partnerships of all sizes across the country, small and large, use carried interest.  It is not compensation for services, and it is not comparable to wages. Carried interest is granted for the value a general partner adds beyond routine services, and it is a recognition of the risks a general partner takes, such as funding predevelopment costs, guaranteeing construction budgets and financing, and exposure to potential litigation,” said DeBoer. 
  • Reversing well-established tax law and ending carried interest would raise little revenue. It would, however, reduce construction activity, especially higher-risk and much-needed projects like affordable housing, commercial developments in long-neglected neighborhoods, and the cleanup of contaminated land. 
  • “Today, construction costs are higher than ever and financing remains challenging.  Now is not the time to raise taxes on U.S. real estate,” said DeBoer. 

Senate Proposal

  • Senate Budget Chair Lindsey Graham (R-SC) announced today that his committee will convene Wednesday and Thursday to debate and vote on his budget resolution, setting the stage for a future vote on a bill focused solely on border security, defense, and energy. (Politico, Feb. 7)
  • Their decision comes ahead of a meeting with President Trump at Mar-a-Lago today, where they also plan to discuss budget reconciliation. (Politico, Feb. 5)
  • “This budget resolution jumpstarts a process that will give President Trump’s team the money they need to secure the border and deport criminals, and make America strong and more energy independent,” Graham said in a statement.
  • With a 53-seat majority, Senate Republicans have a bit more flexibility than the House, but still need to unite their party, as some members demand significant spending cuts.
  • Senate GOP leaders plan to revisit the extension of the TCJA 2017 tax cuts later this year through a second reconciliation package.

House Proposal

  • Several House Republicans met with President Trump on Thursday to resolve intraparty spending disputes. House Majority Leader Steve Scalise (R-LA) said the meeting was designed so House Republicans could “get in a place” where they could advance their stalled budget blueprint “next week.” (Politico, Feb. 7)
  • Speaker Mike Johnson had aimed to release a framework today but now says Republicans will be working all weekend to finalize it.

GOP leaders have warned members that full details won’t be available until Monday, and a topline spending agreement remains elusive.

Industry Leaders Convene for 2025 State of the Industry Meeting

Posted on by Abigail Grenadier

This week, The Real Estate Roundtable’s (RER) State of the Industry meeting brought together policymakers, industry leaders, and experts to discuss key policy issues shaping debates in Washington and impacting the economy and commercial real estate industry.

2025 State of the Industry Meeting

  • Roundtable Chair Kathleen McCarthy (Global Co-Head, Blackstone Real Estate) opened the meeting by welcoming attendees, setting the stage for discussions on industry priorities and advocacy opportunities, and highlighting key member priorities for the year ahead.
  • RER President & CEO Jeffrey DeBoer highlighted the organization’s unique strengths in policy advocacy, which is known for its trusted, fact-based, and data-driven approach. He also acknowledged members for participating in the annual policy issues survey, which revealed widespread concern about tariffs and strong support for priorities like tax reform, housing incentives, reducing regulatory barriers, energy infrastructure, insurance, and cybersecurity resiliency.

Meeting Speakers

  • Geopolitical expert John Sitilides (Principal, Trilogy Advisors LLC; National Security Senior Fellow, Foreign Policy Research Institute) gave a presentation on “Washington & the World: The New Geopolitics of Great Power Competition” and discussed the current geopolitical dynamics and vulnerabilities affecting global commerce and energy.
  • Rep. Darin LaHood (R-IL) (Member, House Committees on Ways and Means; and  Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence) discussed the U.S.-China economic relationship, extending the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) tax cuts, housing incentives such as the Low-Income Housing Tax Credit (LIHTC), opportunity zones, and property conversions.
  • Rep. Tom Suozzi (D-NY) (Member,House Committee on Ways and Means) stressed the need for bipartisanship to address housing shortages, restore state and local tax (SALT) deductions, advance immigration reform, and revitalize cities.
  • Robert Costa (Chief Election & Campaign Correspondent, CBS News) shared his insight on the current political environment and his experiences with the past and current administrations.
  • Rep. French Hill (R-AR) (Chair of the House Financial Services Committee) spoke to RER’s Joint Real Estate Capital Policy Advisory Committee (RECPAC) and Research Committee on his policy priorities for the 119th Congress.

Committee Meetings

Joint Real Estate Capital Policy Advisory Committee (RECPAC) and Research Committee

  • During a joint meeting, Research Co-Chair Spencer Levy (Global Chief Client Officer & Senior Economic Advisor, CBRE) and Darin Mellot (CBRE) discussed the current real estate conditions and the outlook for real estate credit and capital markets. Working Group Chair Michael Lascher (Global Head of Real Estate Debt Capital Markets, Blackstone) led a discussion on office financing with David Bouton (Citibank), Michael Maturo (RXR Realty), and James Million (CBRE). Will Skinner (Blackstone Credit and Insurance) presented on the growing adoption of private credit by insurance companies and the interplay with alternative asset managers. (Agenda & Speakers)

Tax Policy Advisory Committee (TPAC)

  • TPAC Chair Joshua M. Parker (Chairman & Chief Executive Officer, Ancora L&G) and TPAC Vice Chair David Friedline (Partner, Deloitte Tax LLP) led panels on the status of tax legislation in Congress and the pending expiration of the TCJA, property conversions, partnerships, pass-throughs, partnership basis-shifting rules, and SECA-limited partners tax dispute. (Agenda & Speakers)

Sustainability Policy Advisory Committee (SPAC)

  • SPAC Vice Chairs Ben Myers (Vice President, Sustainability, BXP) and Katie Rothenberg (Vice President, ESG, Avalon Bay Communities, Inc.) led discussions on public-private partnership opportunities with US-DOE, utilities, refrigerant emissions, and building performance standards. (Agenda & Speakers)

Homeland Security Task Force (HSTF)

  • Co-Chair Amanda S. Mason (Executive Director, Global Intelligence, Related Companies) highlighted the overall mission of the HSTF, and led a series of discussions on areas of concerns for the commercial facilities sector. Bruce Hoffman (Senior Fellow for Counterterrorism and Homeland Security, Council on Foreign Relations) provided an overview of implications of recent terrorist incidents here and abroad, and the evolving terrorism landscape. Trent Frazier (CISA) and Tobi Rosenzweig, (U.S. Department of State) discussed the current geopolitical tensions in Europe and both short-term and long-term risks. Ken Kurz (COPT Defense Properties)and Marcelle Lee (Equinix) led a panel on the evolving landscape of cyber and physical threats. Cathy Lanier (National Football League), Hon. Lucian Niemeyer (Building Cyber Security), and Thomas Warrick (The Future of DHS Project) hosted a roundtable discussion on recent terrorism incidents, and natural catastrophes.(Agenda & Speakers)

Next on RER’s FY 2025 meeting calendar is the Spring Meeting on April 7-8. The Spring Meeting is restricted to Roundtable-level members only. 

Trump’s First 100 Days: Top Commercial Real Estate Policies to Watch

Posted on by Abigail Grenadier

President Donald Trump’s second term is rapidly taking shape, with sweeping executive orders, quick nominations and bold policy announcements advancing in the first few days of his second administration. From tax policy to housing, immigration, and energy initiatives, the commercial real estate sector faces a dynamic and fast-changing landscape.

Tax Policy

  • TCJA Renewal: Efforts to extend key provisions of the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) are a key priority for the Trump administration and Republicans in Congress, with significant implications for commercial real estate.
  • A number of RER priorities are at stake, including maintaining the reduced tax rate on capital gains, extending Opportunity Zones and the Section 199A deduction, safeguarding like-kind exchanges and enacting federal tax incentives for property conversions to address the housing shortage. (Roundtable Weekly, Jan. 10)
  • The content of the reconciliation package continues to be heavily debated, with multiple areas of intra-party disagreement among Republicans to overcome in order to reach a deal. Concerns about pay-fors, the growing debt, budget cuts and proposals to eliminate the state and local tax deduction (SALT) remain. (Politico, Jan. 22)
  • RER President & CEO Jeffrey DeBoer appeared on Marcus & Millichap’s 2025 Economic & CRE Outlook webinar with a panel of industry leaders discussing the macro environment, the potential policies of the new administration and tariffs, affordable housing, tax policy expectations and more.

Tariffs

  • Proposed Tariffs: Trump has signaled a desire to implement sweeping tariffs, including a 25% tariff on goods from Mexico and Canada that could go into effect on Feb. 1. Trump has also considered a universal 20% tariff on all imports and a 60% tariff on China. (CNN, Jan. 21)

  • These measures are aimed at boosting domestic manufacturing and addressing trade imbalances but could have ripple effects on construction costs and material availability. Any tariffs on imported materials like steel, aluminum and lumber are likely to drive up costs for developers and impact efforts to address the housing shortage. (BisNow, Jan. 17)

  • The scale and scope of the President’s tariff plans are in flux. Trump’s advisors have reportedly considered a phased-in tariff approach. It’s also possible that Trump makes use of the White House’s exemption authority to protect certain industries or goods deemed vital. (Bloomberg, Jan. 13)

Regulatory Work

  • President Trump also signed an executive order freezing all ongoing regulatory work across the federal government, halting the proposal or publication of new rules until reviewed and approved by his administration.
  • The freeze delays the effective date of recently published rules by 60 days, allowing time to decide which Biden-era regulations to keep, rewrite, or discard. (National Law Review, Jan. 23)
  • As with many other parts of the U.S. financial regulatory framework, the pending Basel III Endgame proposal may end up being reproposed with a capital neutral scheme, giving a potential boost to liquidity and credit capacity under the new Trump administration. 

Disaster Aid and NFIP Extension

  • California Fires: Congress and the new administration will soon need to provide billions of dollars in aid to assist those affected by the Los Angeles wildfires. The catastrophe could reach up to $275 billion, with then of thousands of homes and businesses will need to be rebuilt, making federal assistance essential. (Roundtable Weekly, Jan. 17)
  • NFIP: The increasing severity of natural disasters—including the devastating hurricanes last year—has increased the importance of the National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP), whichis set to expire on March 14 unless reauthorized. The Senate Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs Committee held a hearing on Thursday to discuss the program’s renewal. (Politico, Jan. 22)

Housing

  • Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac Privatization: Trump’s team is expected to resume efforts to privatize the government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs), which could significantly reshape multifamily financing markets.
  • Trump has nominated Bill Pulte, to lead the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA), which oversees the GSEs—a move experts say is part of Trump’s push towards privatization. (CRE Daily, Jan. 17)
  • Deregulation to Spur Housing Development: Trump has pledged to roll back environmental and building regulations that hinder housing construction. This includes streamlining permitting processes, relaxing restrictions and accelerating project timelines.
  • Trump’s nominee for the Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD), Scott Turner, has pledged to cut regulations that he says are stifling development. These efforts aim to increase housing supply, particularly in high-demand markets. (BisNow, Jan. 17)

Immigration and Labor

  • Deportations: Trump’s plans for mass deportations could have significant effects on the housing industry. Immigrants make up over 25% of the construction laborer workforce in the U.S., an industry where more workers are sorely needed—especially if affordable housing goals are to be met. (Bisnow, Jan. 17)
  • Depending on the extent of Trump’s deportation plans, CRE projects may face rising costs and delays if the construction workforce is severely affected. (NBC News, Jan. 21)
  • According to the Associated Builders and Contractors, the construction industry needs 439,000 new workers this year to meet rising demand. The need for construction resources is urgent, with Los Angeles requiring rebuilding after devastating fires and a nationwide surge in data center construction on the horizon. (Axios, Jan. 24)

Energy and Infrastructure

  • Emergency Powers: On the day Trump took office, he declared an energy emergency—giving the White House new authority to speed up the manufacture of certain products under the Defense Production Act, issue waivers on certain gasoline restrictions and restrict energy trade, among other powers—likely in service of Trump’s stated effort to “drill, baby, drill.” (The Hill, Jan. 20)
  • Data Centers: Trump also announced a $500 billion “Stargate” initiative designed to expand AI-focused data center infrastructure. The executive order prioritizes the use of fossil fuels to power these facilities and streamlines permitting processes for large-scale projects. (AP News, Jan. 22)
  • The investment could help hasten the buildout of high-demand data centers, which are limited by the availability of energy resources and infrastructure. (BisNow, Jan. 22)

Looking Ahead

With the whirlwind of activity coming out of the Trump administration and Congress, RER will continue to proactively evaluate policy developments as legislative efforts and White House implementation of executive orders progress.

House Freedom Caucus Members Propose Ending Deductibility of State and Local Business Taxes

Posted on by Abigail Grenadier

This week, House Freedom Caucus Members proposed ending the ability of businesses to deduct their state and local business and property taxes on their federal income tax returns.  (Politico, Jan. 15)

Why It Matters

  • The proposal was raised as a potential offset for relief from the SALT cap on individuals. 
  • The proposal was also included in a “menu” of potential policy options prepared by the House Budget Committee for tax and budget reconciliation legislation.  (PoliticoPro, Jan. 17)
  • The Budget Committee has a key role in setting the overall size of any reconciliation bill, but the actual details of tax changes fall under the jurisdiction of the House Ways and Means Committee.

Industry & Congressional Response

  • “Property taxes and other state-level business taxes are a basic cost of doing business.  Denying the deductibility of these business taxes is nonsensical and would be devastating to American businesses, and especially U.S. real estate.  The purpose of the income tax is to measure and tax income.  Under the proposal, we would no longer have an income tax, we would have a tax on gross revenue.  It would penalize existing property owners, artificially distort business decisions, and raise flashing red lights for anyone even considering a long-term capital investment in the United States,” said Jeffrey DeBoer, President and CEO of The Real Estate Roundtable.
  • Senate Democratic Leader Chuck Schumer (D-NY) addressed the proposal on the Senate floor earlier today.  (Senate Democrats, Jan. 17)
  • “There is no scenario under God’s green Earth that New York taxpayers will ever accept another unfair SALT cap like the House Freedom Caucus proposes….I will do everything I can, first to remove the entire SALT cap tax, and second to never let a new proposal that for the first time imposes the SALT cap on businesses, small and large, to be put into effect. I’m going to do everything I can to fight this dastardly proposal,” said the Senator.
  • The House Freedom Caucus is one of many factions in the House Republican Conference that will have significant leverage over any tax changes in 2025 due to Republicans’ extraordinary slim majority in the House.

House Ways and Means Committee Chairman Jason Smith (R-MO) and House SALT Caucus Co-Chair Rep. Tom Suozzi (D-NY) are scheduled to address Roundtable members at the State of the Industry Meeting next week.

This Week on Capitol Hill: Confirmation Hearings and Tax Policy Debates

Posted on by Abigail Grenadier

This week, the Senate conducted confirmation hearings for several of President-elect Donald Trump’s Cabinet nominees, providing critical insights into the nominees’ perspectives and potential policy directions on real estate, housing, the economy, and tax policy under the incoming administration.

Senate Confirmation Hearings

  • Scott Bessent – Nominee for Secretary of the Treasury: Treasury nominee Scott Bessent faced bipartisan scrutiny during his Senate Finance Committee confirmation hearing over tax policy, tariffs, and China on Thursday. (Axios, Jan 17)
  • He emphasized the importance of extending the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, stating, “This is the single most important economic issue of the day.” (Roll Call, Jan. 16 | PoliticoPro, Jan. 16)
  • “We must make permanent the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act and implement new pro-growth policies to reduce the tax burden on American manufacturers service workers and seniors,” Bessent said in his testimony. He also praised the Opportunity Zones program as a “resounding success,” highlighting its potential to address housing challenges, promote inner-city redevelopment, and support rural growth. (Politico, Jan, 16)
  • He also called for spending cuts and shifts in existing taxes to offset the costs that extending the tax cuts would add to the federal deficit. (AP News, Jan. 16)
  • Lee Zeldin, nominee for EPA Administrator, Chris Wright, nominee for Energy Secretary, and Doug Burgum, nominee for Housing and Urban Development Secretary, also testified this week and are expected to be confirmed. (see Energy story below)
  • Sean Duffy – Nominee for Secretary of the Department of Transportation: Appearing before the Senate Commerce Committee, Duffy emphasized his commitment to safety and pledged to streamline regulatory processes that delay infrastructure projects. Promising to uphold the 2021 infrastructure law, he stated, “I commit to implementing the law,” and vowed to expedite funding distribution, addressing delays to ensure critical projects move forward efficiently. (Politico, Jan. 17)

Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) Nominee

  • On Thursday, Trump announced he would nominate Bill Pulte for Director of the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA). (HousingWire | Reuters Jan. 16)
  • If confirmed, Pulte would oversee Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs) standing behind roughly half of the U.S. residential mortgage market.
  • The Trump administration is expected to pursue a plan to release Fannie and Freddie from government control. (GlobeSt., Jan. 17)
  • GOP lawmakers have raised the idea of including language to mandate Fannie and Freddie’s release in this year’s reconciliation package as a way to offset the cost of extending expiring tax cuts. (Politico, Jan. 16)

House Ways and Means Committee Hearing – TCJA

  • The tax debate kicked off Tuesday with the House Committee on Ways and Means’ first hearing on extending key provisions of the TCJA led by Chairman Jason Smith (R-MO). (Fox News, Jan. 14)
  • At the hearing, lawmakers discussed expiring provisions of the TCJA including the SALT deduction, Section 199-A, opportunity zones, and child tax credits.
  • Congress faces the dual challenge of addressing expiring tax provisions while managing fiscal pressures. While bipartisan cooperation is possible on certain issues like affordable housing, divisions over business tax rates, SALT deductions, and the debt ceiling could stall progress.

What’s Next: RER President & CEO Jeffrey DeBoer will be on Marcus & Millichap’s 2025 Economic & CRE Outlook webinar next Thursday, January 23. He will be joined by Mark Zandi and a panel of industry leaders discussing the macro environment and the potential policies of the new administration and key trends on jobs, the FED outlook, tax policy expectations and more. (Register)

Tax Policy 2025: Competing Strategies and CRE Priorities

Posted on by Abigail Grenadier

The Real Estate Roundtable (RER) is focused on advancing a tax code that encourages investment, supports economic growth, and ensures fair treatment for commercial real estate. With significant provisions of the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) set to expire, tax policy is already dominating early Congressional discussions.

Congressional Dynamics

  • The tax debate is set to kick off on Tuesday, Jan. 14, with the House Committee on Ways and Means’ first hearing on extending key provisions of the TCJA led by Chairman Jason Smith (R-MO).
  • Congress faces the dual challenge of addressing expiring tax provisions while managing fiscal pressures. While bipartisan cooperation is possible on certain issues like affordable housing, divisions over business tax rates, SALT deductions, and the debt ceiling could stall progress.
  • House Speaker Mike Johnson and top House leaders doubled down on their plan to bundle border, tax, and energy policies into a single bill. Meanwhile, Senate leaders are continuing with their two-bill approach, aiming for faster legislative wins for the new administration. (The Hill, Jan. 10)
  • The two chambers are effectively competing to see which strategy can deliver results more quickly.
  • Trump indicated he can live with either approach. “I like one, big, beautiful bill,” Trump said at a press conference on Tuesday. On Wednesday after meeting with Senate Republicans, he told reporters “Whether it’s one bill or two bills, it’s going to get done one way or the other. The end result is the same.” (Axios, Jan. 8 | The Hill, Jan. 8)
  • Speaker Johnson and Republicans are determined to pass their budget blueprint by the end of February. Johnson told reporters Thursday that he’s still working with the Senate to properly “sequence” the massive effort. (PoliticoPro, Jan. 9)
  • On Thursday, Senate Majority Leader John Thune refused to commit to the House’s preferred approach and called it an ongoing conversation. “Obviously we want to give the House as much space as possible,” he told reporters. “They believe they can move and execute on getting a bill across the finish line fairly quickly. But we are prepared to move here, as well.” (PoliticoPro, Jan. 9)
  • “We’re going to be having conversations with each chairman to make sure that the targets they’re given are achievable within their committee, and then ultimately get pulled back into budget reconciliation to give us the ability to do all the things you want to do,” House Majority Leader Steve Scalise told Punchbowl News. (Punchbowl News, Jan. 10)

Senate Bipartisan Outreach

  • Eleven moderate Senate Democrats, led by Sens. Catherine Cortez Masto (D-NV) and Mark Warner (D-VA) wrote to Republican leaders, offering to work with them on extending expiring tax cuts and raising the debt ceiling, proposing bipartisan reforms to balance tax policy and fiscal responsibility. (PoliticoPro, Jan. 10)
  • The letter stated the group was willing to cut spending, protect family-oriented tax policies, maintain competitive business tax rates, — and indicated that they could provide enough votes to allow Republicans to overcome a filibuster in the Senate without having to go through the reconciliation process.
  • While the GOP is unlikely to accept the offer amid internal divisions, the proposal highlights potential avenues for compromise on tax reform and debates ahead.

Roundtable Tax Priorities for 2025

RER encourages lawmakers to ensure that any major tax legislation in 2025 retain or include:

  • The reduced tax rate on capital gains. 
  • Tax fairness for partnerships and pass-through entities.
  • Safeguard like-kind exchanges.
  • Extend, improve, and enact smart tax policies to address the severe housing shortage.
  • Tax rules that encourage, rather than deter, foreign investment in U.S. real estate.

As negotiations and debates continue, RER remains committed to working with lawmakers to ensure the U.S. maintains a competitive tax code that encourages capital formation, rewards entrepreneurial risk-taking, and supports policy objectives, including accessible and affordable housing and safe and healthy communities.

CRE’s Year of Transformation: Lessons from 2024 and Outlook for 2025

Posted on by Abigail Grenadier

As 2024 comes to a close, the commercial real estate industry has made significant strides in recovery and adaptation.

2024 Roundtable Highlights

  • Over the past year, industry confidence has rebounded. RER’s Q4 Sentiment Index reached 73—a three-year high—and a 12-point jump from Q1 of this year. Despite ongoing challenges, the industry has demonstrated resilience and emerged stronger.
  • RER President & CEO Jeffrey DeBoer spoke about the industry’s 2025 priorities in a recent episode of the Leading Voices in Real Estate podcast, saying, “Real estate cuts across all aspects of our economy, and it’s what makes cities strong. You can’t find a time in history where nations have been strong without healthy cities. Right now, cities are struggling, and we want to help them back.”
  • Looking ahead to 2025, RER remains focused onadvancing policies that support liquidity, innovation, and adaptive reuse to ensure CRE remains a pillar of economic growth and community development.
  • 2025 Policy Priorities Survey: Next week we will be distributing our Policy Issues Survey to all members to gather input on our policy priorities for 2025.

Top Takeaways from 2024

Construction skyline
  • Key drivers of the industry’s growing confidence include easing interest rates and improving financial conditions, which have helped to stabilize asset values and encourage investment activity. By year-end, easing monetary policy and growing investor confidence have started to open up capital availability, with more progress expected in 2025. (Roundtable Weekly, Nov. 8)

  • Office-to-residential conversions saw a banner year, with more than 70 projects completed in 2024. Bolstered by the growing number of state and local incentive programs, 71 million sq. ft. (1.7% of U.S. office inventory) was undergoing or planned for conversion​ as of Q3. Property conversions will continue to see growing momentum in 2025, helping to alleviate elevated vacancy rates. (CBRE, Nov. 11)

  • Loan modifications and extensions, encouraged by regulators and supported by RER, have helped many distressed owners stabilize properties and avoid defaults. While 2024 was a challenging year for the office sector, markets have started to reach an inflection point as capital becomes more available, vacancy rates start to peak, return-to-office momentum grows, and transaction activity picks up. (Roundtable Weekly, Nov. 15)

  • Meanwhile, multifamily and industrial assets—especially data centers—continued to demonstrate strength, benefiting from robust tenant demand and the rapid expansion of AI-driven technologies. (CBRE, Dec. 11)

Prospects for 2025 and Trends to Watch

  • Economic growth: The CRE sector is poised to benefit from moderate economic growth and a more favorable interest rate environment. Investors are cautiously optimistic about improving liquidity and stabilizing valuations, which could unlock much-needed capital. (Commercial Observer, Dec. 10, CBRE, Dec. 11)

  • Office recovery: In San Francisco, office vacancy rates have dropped for the first time in four years—a sign that the office sector is beginning to turn the corner on the pandemic-era economy. Conversion activity is also expected to remain robust, supported by state and local incentives. (S.F. Chronicle, Dec. 16, GlobeSt., Dec. 17)

    • As RER Chair Emeritus William C. Rudin (Co-Executive Chairman, Rudin) recently told Squawk Box, “the demise of office and New York City are greatly exaggerated…there is capital, the CMBS market is back, the banks are coming back to the market,” indicating a welcome trend that could help drive an office revival across America’s downtowns.

  • The data center market will likely see explosive growth driven by artificial intelligence and cloud computing, although power constraints may limit development. Demand for data centers is expected to grow 160% by 2030, driving the buildout of the physical infrastructure needed to support the next digital revolution. (Goldman Sachs, May 14) (McKinsey, Oct. 29)

  • Political and regulatory shifts following the 2024 election—including potential changes to trade, immigration, and fiscal policies with a new Congress and presidential administration—could pose new opportunities or risks in 2025.  Collaborating with and educating policymakers on the impact these policies have on real estate will be crucial to ensuring that public policies support economic growth, job creation, housing affordability, and industry stability.

Heading into 2025, RER will continue advocating for policies that strengthen economic growth and capital availability while addressing industry challenges, including expanded tax credits for affordable housing and property conversions, permitting reform, and other initiatives that support a vibrant and resilient CRE sector.