News Type: Roundtable Weekly

Strong Commercial Real Estate Conditions Persist Despite Concerns Over Interest Rates and Trade Tariffs

Posted on by Trey Jackson

Near-term optimism about commercial real estate market conditions are tempered by concerns over expected increases in interest rates and uncertainty about the effects of international trade tariffs, according to several recent economic and industry reports.  

The Federal Reserve is expected next week to raise its target interest rate above the rate of inflation for the first time in a decade.

  • The Federal Reserve is expected next week to raise its target interest rate above the rate of inflation for the first time in a decade. The Federal Open Market Committee in March raised the fed funds rate a quarter point to 1.75 percent, signaled rates will climb to 2 percent in 2018, and projected three additional hikes for 2019. (Reuters, June 7, “Fed Clambers Back to Positive Real Rates, Now Debate is When to Stop” and Politico, March 21) 
  • Interest rates and economic uncertainty are top concerns for the commercial real estate industry, despite near-term optimism from improved economic conditions, changes in the tax code and the promise of a loosening regulatory environment. ( 2018 Akerman U.S. Real Estate Sector Report, June 5) 
  • Nareit reports that the U.S. real estate market is likely to continue to grow for the next three to five years as current policies such as tax reform benefit the industry, according to a panel at a Capital Markets Update during REITweek: 2018 Investor Conference. (Nareit, June 6) 
  • The Fed’s latest “Beige Book” of current economic conditions shows positive growth and widespread concerns about trade tariffs.  The report also notes that steel and aluminum prices rose, “sometimes dramatically” due to recent duties imposed by the Trump Administration. The Beige Book is one of the first official reports showing the economic impact of the new tariffs on domestic business. (Roundtable Weekly, March 9 and  The Wall Street Journal, April 18)  
  • Commenting on these concerns, Roundtable President and CEO Jeffrey DeBoer noted the findings of The Real Estate Roundtable’s Q2 2018 Economic Sentiment Index: “There are fears about political uncertainty, trade wars, and interest rate increases, which are having some impact and creating a manageable amount of uncertainty for the markets for the remainder of 2018 and looking ahead to 2019.”  (Roundtable News Release, May 10) 

Economic policies that support economic growth will be a focus of discussion during next week’s 2018 Roundtable Annual Meeting in Washington, DC, which will feature special guests such as House Majority Leader Kevin McCarthy (R-CA), House Ways and Means Chairman Kevin Brady (R-TX) and Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-NY).

Five Regulatory Agencies Clear Path for Volcker Rule Changes

Posted on by Trey Jackson

The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) this week became the fifth and final regulatory agency to advance possible reforms to the Volcker Rule, which aims to restrict proprietary trading practices at banks. The Federal Reserve became the first agency to move a proposal to simplify and ease the Volcker Rule forward last week, followed by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp., the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission.  If adopted, this proposed revision is expected to enhance liquidity to commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) markets.  (Roundtable Weekly, June 1)

SEC Chairman Jay Clayton

  • SEC Chairman Jay Clayton said, “The proposal seeks to simplify and tailor the 2013 final rule. I strongly encourage all interested parties to comment on the many questions proposed in the release and I look forward to commentator input about implementing the Volcker Rule in a more effective way.”
  • In a memorandum to the Fed’s Board of Governors, Fed Vice Chairman for Supervision Randall Quarles details the changes in the proposal.
  • U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin on June 5 commended the efforts of the Agencies.  Mnuchin stated, “The Treasury Department strongly supports changes aimed at better tailoring the application of the rule, preserving liquidity during periods of stress, decreasing unintended compliance burdens, and encouraging capital formation.  The five agencies responsible for regulation of the Volcker Rule coming together on this notice is an important first step. These efforts are building on the relief for Main Street borrowers and lenders included in the Economic Growth, Regulatory Relief, and Consumer Protection Act recently signed into law by President Trump.”
  • In a January 2012 comment letter to the Federal Reserve and other financial regulatory agencies, The Roundtable raised concerns about the unintended consequences of the Volcker Rule that could “negatively impact liquidity and capital formation in commercial real estate.”

The Volcker rule reform proposal will be a topic of discussion at next week’s Real Estate Capital Policy Advisory Committee (RECPAC) held in conjunction with The Roundtable’s Annual Meeting in Washington. The Roundtable plans to submit comments to the Agencies before a final rule is expected to be in effect by January 1, 2019.

Trump Administration Imposes Tariffs on Imported Steel and Aluminum from European Union, Canada and Mexico

Posted on by Trey Jackson

The Trump Administration today imposed a 25 percent tariff on steel imports and a 10 percent tariff on aluminum imports from the European Union, Canada and Mexico, sparking rebukes from congressional Republicans and foreign policymakers, who have threatened retaliatory measures.

The Trump Administration imposed a 25 percent tariff on steel imports and a 10 percent tariff on aluminum imports from the European Union, Canada and Mexico, sparking rebukes from congressional Republicans and foreign policymakers, who have threatened retaliatory measures.

  • When the steel and aluminum tariffs were initially proposed in March, an exemption was granted until June 1 for certain trade partners, including Canada, Mexico and the EU – yet negotiations about the Administration’s domestic production concerns were not resolved by today’s deadline. 
  • Roundtable President and CEO Jeffrey DeBoer noted the commercial real estate industry’s concerns, stating “For every job in the steel production industry, there are more than 50 jobs in the US construction industry (140,000 vs. 7-10 million). New tariffs on construction materials like steel could have the unfortunate, unintended side effect of raising construction costs and reducing jobs in real estate development.” (Roundtable Weekly, March 9) 
  • According to the U.S. Department of Commerce, the U.S. imported 34.6 million metric tons of steel last year, a 15% increase from 2016.  The International Trade Administration reports the largest supplier of steel to the U.S. is Canada, accounting for 77% – while Mexican steel accounts for about 9% of U.S. imports. USA Today reports that the majority of that metal is used in construction, auto manufacturing and appliances. (USA Today, May 31) 
  • House Ways and Means Chairman Kevin Brady (R-TX) today stated, “These tariffs are hitting the wrong target. When it comes to unfairly traded steel and aluminum, Mexico, Canada, and Europe are not the problem-China is. This action puts American workers and families at risk, whose jobs depend on fairly traded products from these important trading partners,” Brady said. 
  • Sen. Mike Lee (R-UT) said he would introduce legislation next week to curtail the president’s powers to impose tariffs for reasons of national security. (The Hill, June 1) 
  • “You don’t treat allies the same way you treat opponents,” Sen. Ben Sasse (R-NE) stated.  “Blanket protectionism is a big part of why we had a Great Depression. ‘Make America Great Again’ shouldn’t mean ‘Make America 1929 Again.'”  

In the Federal Reserve’s latest “Beige Book” about economic conditions, positive growth is tempered by widespread concerns about trade tariffs. The report summary also notes that steel and aluminum prices rose, “sometimes dramatically” due to recent duties imposed by the Trump Administration. (Roundtable Weekly, March 9)  The Beige Book is one of the first official reports showing the economic impact of the new tariffs on domestic business. (Wall Street Journal, April 18)

The Fed and FCIC Vote to Simplify and Ease Volcker Rule

Posted on by Trey Jackson

A proposal to simplify and ease the Volcker Rule, which restricts proprietary trading practices at banks and is enforced by five separate federal agencies, was unanimously approved this week by both the Federal Reserve and Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. (FDIC). (Roundtable Weekly, May 25)

The Fed’s proposal is part of a broader regulatory rollback.  (“ The Volcker Rule’s Proposed Revision Could Add Liquidity To CMBS ” – GlobeSt, May 31)

  • The nearly 400-page proposal, known as Volcker 2.0, would seek to simplify regulatory requirements by giving banks new quantitative “bright-line rules” to provide more clarity on what activities are prohibited and permitted. The Fed proposal is part of a broader regulatory rollback, which includes the recently enacted Economic Growth, Regulatory Relief, and Consumer Protection Act (S. 2155) that included Roundtable-supported revisions to the Basel III High Volatility Commerical Real Estate (HVCRE) Rule. 
  • For CRE, the Volcker Rule has put a damper on secondary market trading of commercial mortgage backed securities (CMBS) by limiting the ability of banks to hold inventories of secondary market securities, thereby diminishing market liquidity.  In addition to restricting banks from buying certain securities for their own accounts (so-called proprietary trading), it also has prohibited them from investing in hedge or private-equity funds – including real estate.  (“ The Volcker Rule’s Proposed Revision Could Add Liquidity To CMBS ”  – GlobeSt , May 31)
  • Real Estate Roundtable President and CEO Jeffrey DeBoer commented on the Volker Rule proposal. “This positive action will benefit liquidity and the commercial mortgage backed securities market, potentially increasing investment in job-creating construction activities,” DeBoer said.
  • One of the most significant changes in the Volcker 2.0 proposal would give banks more latitude by making it easier for them to show they are trading to help clients — a permitted activity known as market making  — rather than proprietary trading .
  • In a memorandum to the Fed’s Board of Governors, Fed Vice Chairman for Supervision Randall Quarles details the changes in the proposal .
  • In a January 2012 comment letter  to the Federal Reserve and other financial regulatory agencies, the Roundtable raised concerns about the unintended consequences of the Volcker Rule that could “negatively impact liquidity and capital formation in commercial real estate.”

The Fed and its regulatory partners are seeking public comment on its Volcker rule reform proposals. The Roundtable plans to work with its Real Estate Capital Policy Advisory Committee (RECPAC) to submit comments before a final rule is expected to be in effect by January 1, 2019.

Senate and House Committees Approve Bills Addressing Foreign Investment Risk; Includes Language Affecting Real Estate

Posted on by Trey Jackson

Separate bills that would overhaul the process for reviewing foreign investment risk – including a purchase or lease by a foreign party of domestic properties located close to sensitive U.S. facilities – received unanimous approval Wednesday by the Senate Banking and House Financial Services Committees.  (Lexology, May 23)

Real estate provisions in  S. 2098  appear on pages 7 through 9.

  • The committees’ revised versions of the Foreign Investment Risk Review Modernization Act (FIRRMA) – S. 2098 and HR 5841 – seek to modernize and strengthen how the Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States (CFIUS) reviews acquisitions, mergers, and other foreign investments in the United States for national security risks.  Both bills would expand the list of covered transactions to include some foreign purchases and leases of real estate near military and other strategic facilities. (Real estate provisions in S. 2098 appear on pages 7 through 9.)
  • As a result of industry discussions with Senate and Treasury staff, the new legislative drafts include the addition of language designed to exempt real estate in ‘urbanized areas’ from the criteria of a covered transaction.  The Census defines an urbanized area as one comprising more than 50,000 people. 

FIRRMA may be ready for floor consideration in the House and Senate before the August congressional recess. The Trump Administration has shown support for reforming FIRRMA to strengthen CFIUS’ oversight. 

President Trump Signs Dodd-Frank Reform Bill With HVCRE Revisions

Posted on by Trey Jackson

Revisions to the 2010 Dodd-Frank Act – including significant Roundtable-supported reforms to the Basel III High Volatility Commercial Real Estate (HVCRE) Rule – were signed into law by President Trump yesterday, two days after the House passed The Economic Growth, Regulatory Relief, and Consumer Protection Act (S. 2155). 

Revisions to the 2010 Dodd-Frank Act – including significant Roundtable-supported reforms to the Basel III High Volatility Commercial Real Estate (HVCRE) Rule – were signed into law by President Trump yesterday, two days after the House passed The Economic Growth, Regulatory Relief, and Consumer Protection Act (S. 2155).

  • S. 2155 previously passed the Senate in March with the same clarifications and reforms as the House bill.  The HVCRE Rule created needless confusion and increased borrowing costs in the industry for CRE Acquisition, Development and Construction (ADC) lending.
  • Senate Banking Committee Chairman Mike Crapo (R-ID) commented, “This step toward right-sizing regulation will allow local banks and credit unions to focus more on lending, in turn propelling economic growth and creating jobs on Main Street and in our communities.” (Sen. Mike Crapo News Release, May 22)
  • Details of the new measure addresses key deficiencies in current and proposed regulations.  Real Estate Roundtable HVCRE Working Group Co-Chair Joseph Forte (Sullivan and Worcester) noted, “This legislative action is a welcome solution to a poorly designed regulatory capital scheme that has not matched with risk. This caused an unnecessary cost burden to all commercial banks and their real estate development customers.  In addition, it restores to borrowers the ability to offer appreciated land value as equity to banks, when validated through appraisal practices established in earlier statutes.”  (Passage of Dodd-Frank Reform Encourages Investment, Economic Growth in Local Communities –Roundtable News Release, May 22) 
  • The Roundtable and twelve other real estate organizations detailed the industry’s HVCRE policy positions and urged inclusion of the language in broader Dodd-Frank reform legislation (S. 2155). (Roundtable HVCRE Comment Letter, March 2)
  • “The Reform Bill, in provisions that are now effective, overrides certain highly conservative provisions in both the federal banking agencies’ (Banking Agencies) Basel III capital rule and their interpretations of it.” ( Dodd Frank 2.0: Reforming U.S. HVCRE Capital Treatment, Gibson Dunn, May 24)

Since 2015, The Roundtable’s HVCRE Working Group and industry coalition partners have played a key role in advancing specific reforms to the HVCRE Rule.  During next month’s Real Estate Roundtable Annual Meeting, HVCRE will be a focus of discussion, with more specific details offered during the Real Estate Capital Policy Advisory Committee (RECPAC) meeting on June 14.

Fed to Consider Changes to Volcker Rule

Posted on by Trey Jackson

The Federal Reserve announced this week that it will consider a proposal to modify the “Volcker Rule” at a May 30 meeting of its board.  As a provision of the 2010 Dodd-Frank Act that puts restrictions on proprietary trading practices at banks, enforcement of the Volcker Rule is currently shared by five separate federal agencies – The Fed, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC), Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).  (Fed Statement, May 23)

The Federal Reserve announced this week that it will consider a proposal to modify the “Volcker Rule” at a May 30 meeting of its board.

  • “The Fed is the first regulator to set a date for discussing the proposal known as ‘Volcker 2.0.’ Four other agencies are also expected to adopt modifications to the rule. The changes will give large Wall Street banks more trading freedom, as regulators tweak restrictions on market making, hedging and other activities..” (The Wall Street Journal, May 25)
  • Fed Vice Chairman for Supervision Randal Quarles in a March speech said, “It should be clearer and more transparent what is subject to the Volcker Rule’s implementing regulation and what is not. The definition of key terms like ‘proprietary trading’ and ‘covered fund’ should be as simple and clear as possible.”  (American Banker, May 23)
  • House policymakers are considering adding to  must-pass budget legislation a measure that would put the Fed in charge of regulating the Volcker Rule.  The measure, sponsored by Rep. French Hill (R-AR), passed the House in April but has faces an uncertain fate in the Senate.  (U.S. House Considers Adding Volcker Rule Shift to Budget Bill, Bloomberg, May 21)

The Dodd-Frank reform bill signed into law yesterday by President Trump exempts banks with less than $10 billion in assets from the Volcker Rule (named for former Fed Chairman Paul Volcker).

Passage of Dodd-Frank Reform Encourages Investment, Economic Growth in Local Communities

Posted on by Trey Jackson

Roundtable-Supported Measure Will Promote Job-Creating Projects by Clarifying CRE Acquisition, Development and Construction (ADC) Regulations

(WASHINGTON, D.C.) — Financial deregulation legislation (S. 2155 ) passed today by the House of Representatives (258-159) includes significant reforms to the Basel III High Volatility Commercial Real Estate (HVCRE) Rule that will lower financing barriers for job-creating projects that bring positive investment to local communities throughout the country.

Today’s Dodd-Frank reform legislation, previously passed by the Senate in March, is expected to be signed by President Trump this week. Real Estate Roundtable President and CEO Jeffrey DeBoer noted the years of legislative effort to pass the Economic Growth, Regulatory Relief, and Consumer Protection Act.  “The HVCRE reforms included in this bill will help ensure that important real estate construction activities are funded, which is positive for local job creation and economic growth,” DeBoer said.

He added, “The Roundtable recognizes the diligent efforts of policymakers who worked to eliminate the needless regulatory confusion and increased borrowing costs that impeded Acquisition, Development and Construction (ADC) lending. We recognize the dedication of congressional leadership in the Senate and House, including Senate Banking Committee Chairman Mike Crapo (R-ID) and House Financial Services Committee Chairman Jeb Hensarling (R-TX), for their work to pass S. 2155 – and we look forward to President Trump’s signature on this important legislation,” DeBoer said.

The bipartisan HVCRE measure originally was co-sponsored by House Financial Services Committee members Robert Pittenger (R-NC) and David Scott (D-GA) as the Clarifying Commercial Real Estate Loans bill (H.R. 2148) – and passed the House by voice vote in November of last year.  The Senate Banking Committee then took up an identical HVCRE bill (S. 2405) co-sponsored by Senators Tom Cotton (R-AR) and Doug Jones (D-AL), which passed in March as part of the Senate’s broader Dodd-Frank reform legislation (S. 2155).   Today’s passage by the House of S. 2155 / H.R. ?? includes the same language and clarifications to the Basel III High Volatility Commercial Real Estate (HVCRE) Rule.

The new measure addresses key deficiencies in the agencies’ current and proposed regulations by providing the following modifications and clarifications to either an HVCRE or High Volatility Acquisition, Development or Construction (HVADC) loan:

  • Commercial borrowers will be able to satisfy the 15% equity requirement through the appreciated value of contributed land/property – versus the cost basis under the current rule.  
  • A new exemption would be added to the HVCRE rule covering acquisition/refinancing loans for performing income producing properties.   It clarifies that loans made to acquire existing property with rental income and/or do cosmetic upgrades and other improvements don’t trigger the capital penalty.
  • Allows borrowers to use internally generated capital in the project and, once the development/construction risk period has passed, outside the project, rather than forcing them to refinance the loan (possibly away from the original lender).
  • All ADC loans made prior to January 2015 would be grandfathered and do not have to satisfy current HVCRE exemption criteria.
  • Banks would able to withdraw HVCRE status prior to the end of an ADC loan’s term.

The Real Estate Roundtable’s HVCRE Working Group, co-chaired by Sullivan and Worcester Partner Joseph Forte, and PNC Real Estate Senior Vice President William Lashbrook, played a key role in advancing these reforms since 2015. 

Forte said, “This legislative action is a welcome solution to a poorly designed regulatory capital scheme that was not matched with risk. This caused an unnecessary cost burden to all commercial banks and their real estate development customers.  In addition, it restores to borrowers the ability to offer appreciated land value as equity to banks, when validated through appraisal practices established in earlier statutes.  In clearly defining HVCRE exposures, this legislative solution halts the regulatory experimentation in creating pools of commercial real estate development risk, including last year’s HVADC trial balloon of a use of proceeds test on unsecured transactions, requiring capital support where it did not exist. ”  

The Roundtable and twelve other real estate organizations on March 2, 2018 sent a comment letter detailing the industry’s HVCRE policy positions and urging inclusion of the HVCRE reforms in a broader Dodd-Frank reform package (S. 2155).

Ways & Means Launches Hearings on Impact of Tax Reforms; Top Treasury Official Outlines Timeline for Implementation Guidance

Posted on by Trey Jackson

The House Ways and Means Committee this week held the first in a series of hearings on how the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) is affecting job creation and the economy five months after its enactment.

House Ways and Means Chairman Kevin Brady (R-TX) in his  opening statement offered a list of favorable economic statistics and projections that he said are attributable to the new law

Treasury Assistant Secretary Sketches Timetable for Regulations Implementing Tax Reform 
Certain provisions of the TCJA of interest to commercial real estate could be addressed in upcoming IRS guidance or in a congressional technical corrections bill.

  • Acting IRS Commissioner David Kautter on May 12 said that Treasury and the IRS hope to complete proposed regulations on section 199A passthrough deduction by mid- to late-July. (Tax Notes, May 15, “Kautter Talks Timelines for TCJA Guidance Projects” and Roundtable Weekly, May 4).
  • Kautter added that the target date for a notice of proposed rulemaking on section 163(j) business interest deduction limitation is late summer or early fall. (Roundtable Weekly, April 6).)
  • Natalie Tucker, legislation tax accountant at the Joint Committee on Taxation, recently  said that the cost-recovery period for qualified improvement property rises to the level of consideration for a “technical correction.”  While Congress was formulating the TCJA, a new category—qualified improvement property—wasn’t assigned a cost-recovery period, and fell to the 39-year period by default, rather than the intended 15-year period.  That was not the intent of Congress and therefore qualifies for inclusion in a technical corrections bill, according to Tucker.  (Bloomberg Law, May 11, “Agreement Reached on Three ‘True’ Technical Corrections”)

Along with TCJA rulemaking and implementation, the legislation’s impact on CRE will be a focus of discussion at The Roundtable’s Annual Business Meeting and Policy Advisory Committee Meetings on June 14-15 in Washington, DC.

Senate and House Committees to Mark Up Bills Addressing Foreign Investment Risk Review on May 22; Includes Language Affecting Urban Real Estate

Posted on by Trey Jackson

Legislation that would reform the process for reviewing foreign investment risk introduced by Senator John Cornyn (R-TX) in the Senate and Congressman Robert Pittenger (R-NC) in the House – including a purchase or lease of domestic properties in close proximity to sensitive U.S. facilities by a foreign party – will be marked up May 22 by both the Senate Banking Committee and the House Financial Services Committee.

The Senate Banking Committee will mark up S. 2098 – the  Foreign Investment Risk Review Modernization Act of 2017 (FIRRMA)  – on Tuesday, May 22.  The revised real estate provision appears on page nine of the committee’s amended  legislative discussion draft .   

  • The legislation (S. 2098) is intended to modernize and strengthen the process by which the Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States (CFIUS) reviews acquisitions, mergers, and other foreign investments in the United States for national security risks.
  • The Senate Banking Committee will mark up S. 2098 – the Foreign Investment Risk Review Modernization Act of 2017 (FIRRMA) – on Tuesday, May 22.  The revised real estate provision appears on page nine of the committee’s amended legislative discussion draft.  
  • The original Senate legislative draft raised concerns about the implications for real estate investment in urban areas that may be in close proximity to “sensitive U.S. military installations or other U.S. government facilities”.  As a result of industry discussions with Senate and Treasury staff, the new draft Manager’s Amendment includes the addition of a definition that would exempt real estate in ‘urbanized areas’ – as defined by the U.S. Census Bureau – from the criteria of a “covered” transaction.  The Census Bureau identifies two types of urban areas: (1) Urbanized Areas (UAs) of 50,000 or more people; and (2) Urban Clusters (UCs) of at least 2,500 and less than 50,000 people).
  • The Hill reports that the House Financial Services Committee will also mark up a CFIUS bill next week.  (The Hill, May 16, House Panel Will Consider Bill to Boost Foreign Investment Review Powers Next Week)
  • According to Bloomberg Law, The House committee will take up a modified bill from the original (H.R. 4311) on May 22. “I think that we’ll hopefully have a bill that’s broadly supported on both sides of the aisle,” Hensarling said. “We’ll see what happens on Tuesday.” (Bloomberg Law, May 17, Foreign Investment Bill to Get Votes in House, Senate Panels, subscription only)

“The revised bill, according to drafts reviewed by The Wall Street Journal, would have the government vet domestic and overseas transactions through separate processes. The proposed legislation spells out CFIUS’s authority to vet the purchase or lease of real estate near sensitive U.S. facilities, and its right to review any deal structured to evade its jurisdiction such as transactions that use shell companies to obfuscate the would-be buyer’s ownership.  Both the Senate Banking Committee and the House Financial Services Committee … now plan to mark up the bill’s text as soon as next week after reaching the compromise.”  (The Wall Street Journal, May 17, Legislation to Curb Chinese Deals Moves Through Congress)