Roundtable’s Q4 Sentiment Index Shows CRE Execs Optimistic Despite Serious Market Challenges; Walker Webcast Focuses on the Future of Urban Real Estate

Commercial real estate executives expressed a modest increase in optimism about market conditions despite serious COVID-related challenges, according to The Real Estate Roundtable’s Q4 Economic Sentiment Index released this week. (Roundtable news release, Dec. 2)

  • A majority of respondents to the survey also noted that general conditions one year from now will be either “somewhat better” or “much better” than today. 
  • “Nearly every sector of the commercial real estate industry is facing serious economic challenges due to the overall impact of the pandemic. High unemployment, closed businesses, travel reductions and more have ripped into otherwise healthy real estate portfolios, creating challenges for all building owners in meeting their payroll, utility, tax and debt service obligations. Overall industry low leverage, general market balance, and functioning capital markets are positive influences that – when coupled with growing good news regarding vaccines – results in an increased optimism on part of industry leaders,” said Real Estate Roundtable President and CEO Jeffrey DeBoer. 
  • DeBoer also said,  “That optimism is dependent however on urgently-needed additional COVID relief from Washington and on the rapid testing and availability of effective vaccines. Federal lawmakers and regulators must support further assistance to bridge people and businesses into a post-COVID economy. Help is needed quickly for local governmental budgets, as well as for people and businesses negatively economically impacted by the pandemic. And some protection from unnecessary lawsuits must be provided to businesses to spur a more robust transition back to workplaces. ” 

The Roundtable’s Q4 Sentiment Index topline findings include:

  • The Sentiment Index registered a score of 44, an increase of two points from the third quarter of 2020. Respondents continued to express optimism about future conditions, and many noted increasingly positive trends in their own portfolios. Participants from the hospitality and retail sectors were understandably less optimistic, but felt market dynamics were strong enough that successful recoveries were possible.
  • Respondents referenced stronger markets for industrial and multifamily properties, while retail and hospitality properties were perceived as challenging in this environment. Dynamics in the office sector remain uncertain for most participants as work from home policies have created an uncertain future operating environment.
  • Lower leverage and continued forbearance have combined to allow owners to retain their positions, despite distress within their portfolios. As a result, owners are resistant to realizing discounted asset prices while buyers are seeking discounts as steep as 30% within the hospitality industry.
  • Most respondents cited accessible capital markets for high quality assets, and an increase in debt as well as equity availability. Many also noted the real estate market in general has lower levels of leverage than seen in the last downturn.

Future of Urban Real Estate

Walker Webcast with Mark Parrell and Owen Thomas image

On this week’s Walker Webcast, Roundtable Member Willy Walker (Chairman & CEO, Walker & Dunlop) discussed the pandemic’s impact on urban centers with Roundtable Board Member Owen Thomas (CEO, Boston Properties) and Roundtable Member Mark J. Parrell (President & CEO, Equity Residential Investments). 

  • Thomas commented, “It’s all about the virus. CEOs increasingly are understanding the problems with all remote work. Cultures are getting stretched and it is difficult to do more creative and strategic work, to procure new customers when everyone is working remotely. Companies want to get their employees back to work but companies are also very concerned about liability. What’s going to change all that around is health security.”
  • He added, “We have to get people back to the offices, back to the big cities for the overall economy to recover.”
  • Parrell noted, “When we think about our urban centers, there are places like New York that have been around 400 years and they’ve been resilient over time. (During) the last two decades in New York, up to the pandemic, the quality of life improved so much. These cities are capable of recovery, but good leadership is required. It will be very important that these cities be led by both public and private minded individuals who, like the Partnership for New York for example, are trying to put the city back together and on its feet. Once the cities re-energize, renters will return.”
  • Parrell added, “I do think there’s going to be a migration back into city centers, based initially on price and on activation as the vaccine gets broadly distributed.”

The pandemic’s ongoing impact on CRE and the policy response will be a focus of discussion during The Roundtable’s virtual State of the Industry Business Meeting and policy committee advisory committee meetings on January 27-28, 2021.

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Commercial Real Estate Executives Optimistic Despite Serious Current Market Challenges

A quarterly survey of commercial real estate industry leaders reflects optimism about market conditions, despite ongoing serious COVID-related challenges. Sentiment is somewhat bouyed by positive supply, demand and capital access, as well as hopeful expectations for a vaccine.  

(WASHINGTON, D.C.) — Commercial real estate executives expressed a modest increase in optimism about market conditions, according to The Real Estate Roundtable’s Q4 Economic Sentiment Index, released today. A majority of respondents to the survey also noted that general conditions one year from now will be either “somewhat better” or “much better” than today. 

Those surveyed noted particularly challenging economic conditions in the hospitality and retail sectors; market uncertainty associated with future office space use; somewhat stable multifamily markets, and relatively stronger industrial and life science markets. They cited industry fundamentals, functioning capital markets, industry-wide low leverage and modest lender debt service forbearance as factors in the industry’s ability to thus far withstand the very serious COVID-related market challenges.

“Nearly every sector of the commercial real estate industry is facing serious economic challenges due to the overall impact of the pandemic. High unemployment, closed businesses, travel reductions and more have ripped into otherwise healthy real estate portfolios, creating challenges for all building owners in meeting their payroll, utility, tax and debt service obligations. Overall industry low leverage, general market balance, and functioning capital markets are positive influences that – when coupled with growing good news regarding vaccines – results in an increased optimism on part of industry leaders,” said Real Estate Roundtable President and CEO Jeffrey DeBoer. 

DeBoer added, “That optimism is dependent however on urgently-needed additional COVID relief from Washington and on the rapid testing and availability of effective vaccines. Federal lawmakers and regulators must support further assistance to bridge people and businesses into a post-COVID economy. Help is needed quickly for local governmental budgets, as well as for people and businesses negatively economically impacted by the pandemic.  And some protection from unnecessary lawsuits must be provided to businesses to spur a more robust transition back to workplaces. ” 

The Roundtable’s Q4 Economic Sentiment Index’s Topline Findings include:

  • Increased Optimism
    Respondents’ views reflected an increase in optimism for overall and near-term conditions (from a recent and sharp drop).
  • Better General Market Conditions
    A majority of respondents anticipated better market conditions in one year’s time, having noted worse market conditions today as compared with a year ago.
  • Stable Capital Markets
    Most respondents cited accessible capital markets for high-quality assets, and an increase in debt as well as equity availability. 
     

    Data for the Q4 survey was gathered by Chicago-based FPL Associates on The Roundtable’s behalf. 

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Treasury Requests Cessation of Several Fed Emergency Lending Programs and Return of Unused Funds; Senate Republicans Want Funds Repurposed for Pandemic Relief

Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin sent a letter to Federal Reserve Chairman Jay Powell yesterday requesting that five emergency lending facilities, including the Main Street Lending Program (MSLP), should not be extended past their scheduled expiration on December 31, 2020. Mnuchin also requested the Fed to return unused Treasury loan funds from the programs for Congress to re-appropriate. (Treasury letter and The Wall Street Journal, Nov. 19)

  • The MSLP has the capacity to issue up to $600 billion in loans, yet has only completed approximately 400 loans totaling $3.7 billion. (Washington Post, Oct, 30)
  • The programs were created as part of the CARES Act coronavirus aid package passed in March, which included funding for all the Fed’s emergency lending facilities. (The Hill, Nov. 19)
  • Mnuchin’s Nov. 19 letter stated, “I am requesting that the Federal Reserve return the unused funds to the Treasury. This will allow Congress to re-appropriate $455 billion, consisting of $429 billion in excess Treasury funds for the Federal Reserve facilities and $26 billion in unused Treasury direct loan funds.”
  • The decision to end the lending facilities operations cannot be done unilaterally by Treasury; it would require cooperation by the Fed.
  • Chairman Powell issued a statement after markets closed yesterday that signaled disagreement. “The Federal Reserve would prefer that the full suite of emergency facilities established during the coronavirus pandemic continue to serve their important role as a backstop for our still-strained and vulnerable economy.” (Wall Street Journal, and CNBC interview with Mnuchin, Nov. 20)
  • Powell also said on Nov. 17 that “I don’t think it is time yet, or very soon” to close down the programs and that the Fed was “using all of our tools to support the recovery for as long as it takes until the job is well and truly done.” (Reuters, Nov. 17)
  • If the Trump administration decides not to extend the Fed programs, the new administration’s Treasury Department could reestablish them after Biden is inaugurated on Jan. 20. (Wall Street Journal, Nov. 10)

Pandemic Relief Package

Capitol side with sun and clouds

The request for the Fed to return unused funds from the lending programs comes as Congress remains at an impasse over costs for a pandemic relief package – the Trump administration offered a ceiling of $1.8 trillion, House Democrats passed a $2.2 trillion bill, and Senate Republicans favored a $500 billion measure. (Roundtable Weekly, Nov. 6)

  • Mnuchin and Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) today discussed a strategy for reviving talks between Republicans and Democrats over the stalled pandemic stimulus package. McConnell commented after the meeting about utilizing the unused Fed funds for a relief package, stating, “Congress should repurpose this money toward the kinds of urgent, important, and targeted relief measures that Republicans have been trying to pass for months, but which Democrats have repeatedly blocked with all-or-nothing demands.” (AP, Nov. 20)
  • President-elect Joe Biden on Monday urged Congress to advance the $2.2 trillion HEROES Act (H.R. 925) passed by the House. “Right now, Congress should come together and pass a COVID relief package like the HEROES Act that the House passed six months ago. Once we shut down the virus and deliver economic relief to workers and businesses, then we can start to build back better than before,” Biden said. (BGov, Nov. 16)
  • A report issued Wednesday by The Century Foundation shows that approximately 12 million Americans will lose unemployment insurance by the end of the year due to deadlines set by Congress early in the pandemic. (Washington Post and GlobeSt, “12M Workers Set to Lose Unemployment Benefits,” Nov. 19)

Lawmakers also face the added pressure of passing a government funding bill to avoid a Dec. 11 partial shutdown. Congress may choose to merge some COVID-19 aid measures into a sweeping multi-trillion-dollar omnibus funding bill during the lame-duck session to address both issues – or attempt to pass separate bills.

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Treasury Department Clarifies that Partnership-level State and Local Income Taxes are Deductible

IRS building in Washington DC

The Treasury Department and IRS in a recent notice indicated their intent to issue proposed regulations clarifying that state and local income taxes imposed on, and paid by, a partnership or an S corporation are deductible in computing the partnership or S corporation’s taxable income.  (IRS Notice 2020-75) 

  • The announcement has important implications for real estate and other businesses operating in States with high state and local income tax burdens.  The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017 limits taxpayers’ ability to deduct state and local taxes (SALT) paid at the level of the individual taxpayer to no more than $10,000. 
  • The SALT limitation in TCJA applies to state and local taxes owed on individual wages, as well as state and local taxes paid on business income distributed to partners or S corporation shareholders.  In contrast, state taxes on corporate income remained deductible under the 2017 legislation.  However, prior to Notice 2020-75, it was unclear whether the SALT limitation applied to entity-level income taxes imposed on, and paid directly by, a partnership or S corporation.   
  • The Treasury announcement is an important step towards creating a more level playing field between publicly held C corporations and privately held pass-through businesses.   
  • Over the last three years, several States have modified their tax laws to allow partnerships, S corporations, and LLC’s to pay tax on their business income at the entity level.  States adopting an entity-level tax on pass-throughs include Connecticut, Louisiana, Maryland, New Jersey, Oklahoma, Rhode Island, and Wisconsin.  In most cases, the regimes are elective.  (CNBC, Nov. 18) 
  • Uncertainty about the federal tax treatment of these regimes has limited their effectiveness.  That could change quickly with the new Treasury guidance.  Similar legislative proposals are pending in Alabama, Arkansas, Michigan, and Minnesota and more may follow in light of Treasury’s clarification.  Entity-level regimes that comply with the Treasury regulations could help restore SALT deductions for a significant share of pass-through business income. 

Other tax and economic policy issues affecting real estate were addressed this week in a CBRE panel discussion that featured Roundtable Senior Vice President and Counsel Ryan McCormick and other industry experts. (video)

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Federal Pandemic Risk / Business Continuity Insurance Program Focus of House Hearing

House lawmakers heard testimony about a possible federal pandemic risk / business continuity insurance program during a hearing yesterday entitled, Insuring against a Pandemic: Challenges and Solutions for Policyholders and Insurers. (Webcast of hearing and witness statements)

  • The Business Continuity Coalition (BCC), which includes The Real Estate Roundtable, submitted a hearing statement for the record to The House Financial Services Subcommittee on Housing, Community Development and Insurance. The subcommittee played a key role in last year’s seven-year extension of the Terrorism Risk Insurance Act (TRIA). (List of BCC members)
  • The BCC announced on Oct. 28 that it aims to develop a public/private business continuity insurance program with policymakers and other stakeholders. Such a program would enable employers, in the event of a government-ordered shutdown, to keep payrolls and supply chains intact; help limit job losses and furloughs; reduce stress on the financial system; and speed economic recovery when government-imposed limitations on operations are lifted. (BCC launch news release)
  • The BCC has emphasized that the COVID-19 crisis has shown the current lack of insurance availability for business continuity coverage for catastrophic pandemic events. This coverage gap raises concerns for policyholders and shows the need to enact an effective federal program.
  • The BCC hearing statement submitted this week notes, “… if not remedied, these insurance gaps will hinder any recovery, especially impacting business lending, new leasing activity, retail and hospitality, housing construction and development, as well as media production. Private insurance alone cannot and will not remedy the gaps – at least not in the short-term – but private insurers need to be part of the solution. What is urgently needed is a federally-backstopped availability mechanism similar to the highly successful one which Congress put in place for terrorism following 9/11– in short, a TRIA-style program for pandemic risk.”
  • A number of legislative proposals have been introduced to address the need for business continuity coverage – including the Pandemic Risk Insurance Act of 2020 (H.R. 6983).
  • Roundtable President and CEO Jeffrey DeBoer on Sept. 25 discussed prospects for developing and enacting a federal pandemic risk-business continuity insurance program with Rep. Steve Stivers (R-OH), the Ranking Member on the House Subcommittee. (Video of the discussion)
  • “We’ve seen business interruption insurance not being willing to cover any pandemics. I think you’re going to start to see lenders … requiring some type of pandemic coverage in their loan covenants in the coming years,” Stivers said.
  • He added, “I think we need to make sure that if this ever happens again and the government shuts down the economy, [Congress] holds people harmless and businesses harmless in the future.” (Video of the discussion)

DeBoer commented, “The pandemic crisis has exposed gaps in business continuity insurance coverage that can only be filled by a national program that will provide the American economy with the coverage it needs to minimize the economic impact of pandemic-related shutdowns and aid economic recovery.”

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Roundtable Holds Policy Town Hall; Post-election Congressional Session Faces Pandemic Relief Pressure, Government Funding Deadline

Participants in RER Virtual Town Hall Nov9

The Real Estate Roundtable this week held a virtual “town hall” to discuss the election and its impact on national policy issues. Participating in the discussion were Sen. Michael Bennet (D-CO), Roundtable Chair Debra Cafaro (Chairman and CEO, Ventas, Inc.), Chair-Elect John Fish (Chairman and CEO, Suffolk), Roundtable President and CEO Jeffrey DeBoer and policy staff. The Nov. 9 discussion addressed a wide range of policy issues with nearly 200 Roundtable members in attendance. (Watch the discussion on The Roundtable’s YouTube Channel)

  • Cafaro said, “Our priorities are the COVID relief package that will come out of Congress, whether in the lame-duck session or later – a renters’ fund … (support) for state and local government relief … for the Paycheck Protection Program … funding for continued vaccine and testing and distribution … and liability protection of some type.”
  • Fish stated, “What is important for this COVID bill … if we don’t support the cities and towns and states, getting them back on their feet, the issues of lay-offs, restoring services and the impact on education … it is going to continue to spiral. If that happens, that is really detrimental.” He added those measures should be “coupled with PPP support because we need to put people back to work. They need payroll protection, the need jobs and that sense of security.” (Nov. 9 Roundtable Town Hall video)
  • Roundtable policy staff reviewed the lame-duck legislative outlook; tax and energy policy; and initiatives to create a Federal “business continuity” insurance program to mitigate future pandemic risk.
  • DeBoer also participated in a Nov. 12 NYU Shack Institute of Real Estate remote discussion on “Real Estate’s Priorities: Engaging with the New Administration” with Dr. Sam Chandan, PhD, Silverstein Chair of the Institute. (See Shack’s entire agenda)
  • “The narrow majorities in the House and Senate next Congress will place a premium on bipartisanship, and create hurdles for extreme legislation.  We expect a very active Congress. Large legislative agreements will be possible, but odds favor more targeted, constructive legislative initiatives. We look forward to offering our positive perspective on stabilizing the economy and moving forward,” DeBoer said. (Video with Sam Chandan)

Lame-Duck Agenda

DC Capitol Building

President-elect Joe Biden and Democratic leaders met this week about prospects for a bipartisan pandemic relief package during the post-election Congress, despite deadlocked negotiations over the cost and policy details of COVID-19 aid – and unlikely chances for compromise ahead of Georgia’s Senate elections on Jan. 5.

Both chambers of Congress return for their “lame-duck” session with a limited amount of working days before the new 117th Congress begins in January. The current Congress will need to pass a funding bill to keep the government open past Dec. 11 or face a shutdown – and negotiate a coronavirus stimulus package before several safety net programs expire in late December. It is possible the two measures could be combined in an “omnibus” bill. (BGov and Calculated Risk, Nov. 12)

  • Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) said this week that Congress should pass a limited stimulus bill before the end of the year, reiterating Senate Republicans’ opposition to a larger-scale package Democrats favor, signaling the current stalemate could extend into next year. (The Hill, Nov. 12 and Roundtable Weekly, Nov. 6)
  • Biden’s meeting with House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) and Senate Minority Leader Charles Schumer (D-NY) yesterday addressed several outstanding issues facing Congress and the new administration.
  • According to a joint readout from Biden’s transition team and the congressional Democrats, “They discussed the urgent need for the Congress to come together in the lame duck session on a bipartisan basis to pass a bill that provides resources to fight the COVID-19 pandemic, relief for working families and small businesses, support for state and local governments trying to keep frontline workers on the payroll, expanded unemployment insurance, and affordable health care for millions of families.” (The Hill, Nov. 12)
  • Policymakers are reconvening amidst troubling signs affecting the economy, including a significant rise in COVID-19 cases, hospitalizations and deaths throughout the country as state and local governments consider reinstating lockdowns and school shutdowns. (Axios, Nov. 13)
  • Additionally, The Washington Post reported this week that regulators are increasingly concerned about US banks’ loan exposure to commercial real estate. The Nov. 11 article reports that if banks are forced to absorb losses on their $2 trillion in commercial real estate loans, the entire economy will suffer, according to Federal Reserve officials, economists and credit analysts.
  • “The Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. (FDIC) regards 356 banks as ‘concentrated’ in commercial real estate, based upon criteria such as the ratio of their CRE loans to their capital base and the pace of loan growth over the past three years,” according to the article.

Eric Rosengren, the president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, said in a September speech, “I am especially worried about a second shoe dropping that will particularly affect small and medium-sized banks, which provide a large share of commercial real estate loans and small-business loans. A curtailment of credit resulting from such problems has caused serious head winds to recoveries in the past and may be a serious problem going forward.” (Washington Post, Nov. 11)

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Real Estate Coalition Urges Federal Banking Regulators to Extend Relief Period for COVID-19 Related Loan Modifications

Logo compilation of Commercial Real Estate Coalition

A coalition of national real estate organizations, including The Real Estate Roundtable, this week urged federal banking agencies to provide additional guidance that would reaffirm financial institutions may use reasonable judgment when assessing credit risk during the unique circumstances of the pandemic – such as allowing borrowers and lenders additional time to see properties and loans through the pandemic.

  • The guidance would preserve financial institutions’ ability to continue work with borrowers and grant additional incremental accommodations that would total more than six months after December 31, without being classified as a troubled debt restructuring (TDR). (Coalition letter and MBA Newslink, Nov. 10)
  • Early in the crisis, the Federal Reserve joined the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) and other banking regulators in a March 22 Interagency Statement that encouraged banks to avoid automatically categorizing COVID-19 related loan modifications up to 6 months as a TDR. (Roundtable Weekly, March 27)
  • The March joint statement also encouraged borrowers experiencing cash flow problems due to the pandemic to reach out to any FDIC-insured lenders about modifying their loans, without adverse consequences to the bank or the borrower that traditionally come with the TDR label.  
  • The statement included, “Short-term modifications made on a good faith basis in response to COVID-19 to borrowers who were current prior to any relief are not TDRs.  This includes short-term — for example, six months — modifications such as payment deferrals, fee waivers, extensions of repayment terms, or other delays in payment that are insignificant.”
  • On March 24, The Roundtable called on all owners and operators of business and residential rental real estate to voluntarily, proactively work in a positive and constructive manner with their COVID-19 impacted tenants respecting current rent obligations. (Roundtable news release, March 24)

Confluence of Events

OCC logo

  • A revised interagency statement released April 7 clarified the interaction between the March 22, 2020, interagency statement and section 4013 of the CARES Act, Temporary Relief from Troubled Debt Restructurings (section 4013). 
  • Many of the modifications granted under the revised Interagency Statement and section 4013 of the CARES Act are reaching the end of their six-month terms – at that same time that CARES Act protections are set to expire on December 31, 2020.
  • This confluence of these events creates significant, urgent challenges for any financial institution seeking to extend existing modifications of Covid-19 related loans past their six-month term.
  • The Nov. 10 coalition letter states, “…we urge the Agencies to provide guidance that a loan modification with a term greater than six months (e.g., up to 18 months combined) will not automatically result in a TDR under the Interagency Statements.”
  • “Because this issue is urgent, we request that the Agencies issue such a clarification and reaffirmation as soon as possible,” the letter concludes.
  • Brooks stated, “While banks remain sound, we see potential for troubled assets ahead in commercial and residential real estate, in small business and consumer lending, and in the travel and hospitality sectors in particular. Banks, particularly those with concentrations in those assets, must take a sober view of their risks and work with customers to the maximum extent possible consistent with safety and soundness.”

The Roundtable’s Real Estate Capital Policy Advisory Committee (RECPAC) continues its work with Washington policymakers to constructively support The Roundtable’s efforts to address the economic consequences of the COVID-19 crisis.

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Roundtable Advises that Uniform Federal Data and Voluntary Standards are Needed to Avoid State, City “Patchwork” of Carbon Pricing Protocols

FERC logo

The growing number of state and local mandates to reduce GHG emissions and increase renewable energy supplies are driving the need for uniform and voluntary federal-level practices to measure and price carbon, The Roundtable advised in comments submitted on Tuesday.

  • This is because dozens of state and city laws are setting energy measurement, reduction, and emissions targets on buildings, and imposing renewable energy “portfolio standards” that require greater power supplies from solar, wind, and other carbon-free sources.
  • These state and local mandates have “effectively forced the issue – throughout the United States – that carbon emissions are an economic liability, and carbon reductions are an economic asset,” the letter explains.  Environmental demands from investors, tenants, employee talent, and other audiences also impel real estate owners to voluntarily purchase “clean” power and “offset” carbon emissions.
  • While FERC itself lacks authority from Congress to set a price on carbon, within the Commission’s sphere of regulating bulk electricity sales in “wholesale markets” it can play a “vital role to help facilitate a harmonious nationwide system of standards relating to carbon measurement and pricing,” the comment letter provides.

SPAC Involvement

Leadership - RER's SPAC

  • The Roundtable’s Sustainability Policy Advisory Committee (SPAC) – chaired by Tony Malkin (Chairman, President and CEO, Empire State Realty Trust), above left,  and vice-chaired by Dan Egan (Senior Vice President, Vornado Realty Trust), right, – directed the course of the comments, which also provides:
    • FERC should encourage jurisdictions to rely on federal data provided by power plants and managed by the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) – known as “eGRID” – as the unifying information source to measure how combustion of various fuels used across the country contribute to GHG emissions;
    • Federal measurement standards can support “the types of long-term price signals that our energy future demands,” and minimize a confusing a “hodgepodge” in emerging state and regional markets that already treat carbon as a commodity (such as through the purchase of renewable energy certificates (RECs));
    • Any government revenue raised by state-level carbon pricing regimes should be returned to commercial, residential, and other consumers to help defray their energy costs. Sums from any such “carbon dividend” should also be channeled to create jobs by modernizing energy infrastructure and electrifying the grid.

“The SPAC has been hard at work for years on real estate related topics around energy production, distribution, consumption, and pricing that now are front and center,” Malkin said.  “Our members can be comfortable that they have excellent representation and access to information, that RER is on its front foot here, and that representation on SPAC by our members is critical to their ability to get the best information and have the opportunity to help inform The Roundtable’s actions.”

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Fed Announces Limited Adjustments to Main Street Lending Program Terms

The Federal Reserve in Washington, DC

The Federal Reserve on Oct. 30 announced limited adjustments to the terms of its Main Street Lending Program (MSLP) facility in an attempt to support small and medium-sized businesses affected by the COVID-19 outbreak. (Fed news release

  • The MSLP has the capacity to issue up to $600 billion in loans, yet has only completed approximately 400 loans totaling $3.7 billion. (Washington Post, Oct, 30) 
  • With congressional negotiations over a pandemic relief package at an impasse, The Fed reduced the minimum loan size for three Main Street facilities from $250,000 to $100,000 and reduced fees to lenders who facilitate the loans. (Wall Street Journal and Roundtable Weekly, Oct. 30)
  • The Fed also issued a set of frequently asked questions to clarify that Paycheck Protection Program loans of up to $2 million may be excluded when determining the maximum MSLP loan size. (MSLP FAQs, Oct. 30)
  • Real Estate Roundtable and President Jeffrey DeBoer yesterday commented to CoStar, “The Main Street Lending Program won’t be energized by modest revisions. Banks need greater incentives to focus on the program, the borrower eligibility rules must be rethought, and the loan underwriting rules should better reflect the needs of troubled businesses. Without far deeper reforms to the program, its full potential assistance will continue to be untapped,” DeBoer stated. (CoStar, Nov. 5, “Modest Changes May Not Be Enough to Make Relief Effective, Head of Real Estate Industry Group Says”)
  • DeBoer testified about the MSLP on Sept. 9 before the Senate Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs Committee on how to improve access to Federal Reserve credit facilities for businesses such as manufacturing, retail, restaurants, real estate owners, and other asset-based borrowers. (Roundtable Weekly, Sept. 11)
  • DeBoer told the Committee, “The recommendations that I have made on the Main Street Lending Program … really require no additional funds from the federal government. They are administrative. They could be done tomorrow by the Treasury and the Fed if they wanted to.” (Roundtable Oral Comments and written statement / video of DeBoer’s Testimony and Q&A with Senators)
  • Fed Chairman Jay Powell testified before Congress on Sept. 23 that the central bank has “done basically all of the things that we can think of.” Powell added, “There is nothing major that we see now that would be consistent with opening it (MSLP) up further.” (American Banker, Sept. 23)
  • Last month, The Fed released its Summary of Commentary on Current Economic Conditions, showing that “commercial real estate conditions continued to deteriorate in many Districts.” (The Fed’s Beige Book, Oct. 22)
  • The Fed lending programs backed by pandemic relief legislation are set to expire at the end of December.  Fed Chairman Powell and Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin must decide which programs to extend into 2021. (New York Times, Nov. 5) 

The Roundtable continues to urge regulators and lawmakers to develop specific MSLP changes to bolster small business tenants and other industries struggling with the pandemic’s ongoing economic impact. 

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Election Results Usher In Uncertain Prospects for Pandemic Relief and Funding Omnibus

Ballot counting in the presidential election continued for the fourth day this week as former Vice President Joe Biden made gains against President Trump in key battleground states. Control of the Senate balances on the results of undecided races in Alaska and North Carolina – and on both Senate seats in Georgia that will face run-off elections on Jan. 5.

  • The Real Estate Roundtable will hold a membership-only town hall discussion on Monday, Nov. 9 from 5-6pm EST to discuss the policy implications of the elections with Roundtable staff, elected leaders and special guests.
  • Electoral uncertainty will influence Congress on its return to Washington next week for a “lame-duck session,” which will include consideration of a pandemic relief package and must-pass legislation to keep the government open past Dec. 11. (BGov, Nov. 6 and Roundtable Weekly, Oct. 30)
  • House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) this morning called for Republicans to re-enter negotiations for COVID-19 relief as Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell on Wednesday said Congress should pass a new economic-relief package this year. (Politico and Wall Street Journal, Nov. 6)
  • McConnell said, “We need another rescue package. Hopefully the partisan passions that prevented us from doing another rescue package will subside with the election. We need to do it, and I think we need to do it before the end of the year.”
  • Senate Whip John Thune (R-SD), who is number 2 in the chamber’s leadership, said on Oct. 25 that if Democrats prevail in the presidential election, a smaller stimulus bill could be pursued in the lame-duck session, followed by another package in the new year. (BGov, Oct 27)
  • A major impediment in the negotiations over pandemic aid is cost, as the Trump administration has offered a ceiling of $1.8 trillion, House Democrats passed a $2.2 trillion bill, and Senate Republicans favored a $500 billion measure. (Wall Street Journal, Oct.9 / AP, Oct. 1 / USA Today, Oct 21)
  • The tension surrounding the presidential election results adds to the uncertainty about whether President Trump will negotiate and seek to influence a Senate GOP bill addressing COVID-19 relief during the lame-duck session.
  • White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow today said the administration remains open to negotiations.  “Sen. McConnell and for that matter President Trump, and [Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin] and I and the others … we would like to negotiate a package. It would still be a targeted package to specific areas. We’re not interested in two or three trillion dollars,” Kudlow said. (CQ, Nov. 6)

Lawmakers during the lame-duck may choose to merge some COVID-19 aid measures into a sweeping multi-trillion-dollar omnibus bill to avoid a partial government shutdown on Dec. 11, when funding is set to expire.  Additionally, many temporary financial safety net programs are set to expire on Dec. 31. (Marketwatch, Oct. 21 and RollCall , Oct. 28)

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