News Type: Roundtable Weekly

Policymakers Face Debt Ceiling Crunch After Treasury Forecasts June “X Date”

Posted on by Trey Jackson

Capitol building

Pressure on Congress and the White House ratcheted up this week after Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen warned that the U.S. could default on its $31.4 trillion debt as early as June 1. President Joe Biden will meet on May 9 with House Speaker Kevin McCarthy (R-CA), Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY), Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-NY), and House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries (D-NY) to discuss raising the US debt limit and Republican concerns about federal spending levels. (Treasury letter, May 1 | Bloomberg and New York Times, May 2)

Looming Deadline

  • The estimated date that Treasury will run out of money to pay its bills is called the “X date.” Moody’s Analytics Chief Economist Mark Zandi told the Senate Budget Committee yesterday that the best case scenario for hitting the X date is August 8 and the worst is June 1. (BGOV, May 5)
  • Zandi testified, “The Treasury debt limit drama is heating up and is sure to get much hotter in coming weeks as we have a better understanding of the 2023 tax filing season and the actual X-date.”
  • Zandi also noted how a debt ceiling extension could be combined with annual budget talks. “If the X-date is as soon as early June, it seems a stretch for lawmakers to come to terms fast enough, and they instead will decide to pass legislation suspending the limit long enough to line the X-date up with the end of fiscal 2023 at the end of September. This will buy time and combine the debt limit decision with the federal government’s fiscal 2024 budget, which is also must-do legislation for lawmakers to ensure the government is funded and avoids a shutdown,” Zandi stated. (Senate Budget Committee hearing, May 4)
  • Office of Management and Budget Director Shalanda Young suggested this week that the White House may be open to a short-term debt ceiling extension. “I’m sure one of the things on the table we will have to work through is how long. I’m not going to take anything off the table,” Young said. (Reuters and The Hill, May 4)

Policy issues related to raising the debt ceiling and CRE market conditions will be discussed be during The Roundtable’s all-member meeting on June 13-14 in Washington, DC.

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House Republicans Pass Debt Ceiling Bill

Posted on by Trey Jackson

House Passes Debt Ceiling Bill

House Republicans this week narrowly passed legislation—the Limit, Save, Grow Act (H.R. 2811)—that would slash government spending and rescind much of the Biden administration’s climate-related incentives in an effort to spur bipartisan talks on raising the nation’s $31.4 trillion debt ceiling. (Roll Call, April 26 and Reuters, April 27)

Avoiding Default

  • The White House issued an April 25 Statement of Administration Policy that the GOP bill would be vetoed if it ever made it to President Biden’s desk. Biden added he is willing to meet with House Speaker Kevin McCarthy (R-CA), but that extending the debt limit is “not negotiable.” Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-NY) responded to passage of the House bill by stating it “has no hope of ever becoming law.” (Schumer Floor Remarks, April 27)
  • The Congressional Budget Office released an analysis this week showing that H.R. 2811 would reduce $4.8 trillion from the deficit by setting caps on federal spending over the next 10 years—with an additional $570 billion in savings coming from rescinding energy tax provisions passed in the Inflation Reduction Act. (Tax Notes, April 27 and Roundtable Weekly, Aug. 12, 2022)
  • Mark Zandi, the chief economist at Moody’s Analytics testified before Congress last month that if no resolution to the debt limit is reached before mid-August, “a default would be a catastrophic blow to the already-fragile economy.” (Zandi’s written testimony, March 7)
  • A previous standoff over the debt limit in 2011 led to a downgrade of the government’s credit rating, which pushed borrowing costs higher. (ABC News, Jan. 24)

Roundtable ResponseRER's Jefrey DeBoer and John Fish

  • The Roundtable and 13 other national real estate organizations sent a joint letter last month urging congressional leaders to raise the debt limit to avoid agitating the stability of U.S. financial markets and roiling significant sectors of the American economy unnecessarily. (Coalition letter, March 29)
  • Real Estate Roundtable Chair John Fish, right above, (Chairman and CEO, SUFFOLK) and President and CEO Jeffrey DeBoer, left, have also called on Roundtable members to contact both policymakers in Congress and the White House to raise the debt ceiling. (Roundtable Weekly, Jan. 20)
  • DeBoer said, “Some threats to the U.S. economy are unavoidable, others are ones of our own making and entirely unnecessary. The potential for a default on the federal debt is a needless and inexcusable risk with potentially dire consequences for U.S. real estate, workers and retirees, and the entire economy. The full faith and credit of the United States government should not be open to negotiation.”

The impact of negotiations over federal spending and raising the debt ceiling on the national economy and CRE markets was a focus of discussion during The Roundtable’s Spring Meeting this week (see story above). It is possible that intense discussions among DC policymakers on these issues will be underway during The Roundtable’s all-member meeting on June 13-14 in Washington, DC.

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Roundtable Members, Policymakers Discuss Key National Issues

Posted on by Trey Jackson

Real Estate Roundtable 2023 Spring Meeting

Real Estate Roundtable members and policymakers met this week to discuss pressing issues affecting CRE, including return-to-work trends, the looming refinance wave, the debt ceiling, and affordable housing challenges. The Roundtable 2023 Spring Meeting also focused on tax, climate, and regulatory proposals. (The Roundtable’ Policy Priorities and Executive Summary, April 24)

Speakers & Policy Issues

  • Roundtable Chair John Fish (Chairman & CEO, SUFFOLK), below left, and Roundtable President and CEO Jeffrey DeBoer, right, led policy issue discussions featuring the following guests:

John Fish, Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo, Jeffrey DeBoer

  • Gina Raimondo, U.S. Secretary of Commerce

    Secretary Raimondo, center, discussed how the Commerce Department is investing billions in federal funds in infrastructure, manufacturing, and other industries to generate jobs and economic growth. The former governor of Rhode Island also focused on her recent “Million Women in Construction Initiative” during a National Public Radio Marketplace interview later the same day.

Sen. Tim Kaine (D-VA)

  • Sen. Tim Kaine (D-VA)

    As a member of the Senate Budget and Foreign Relations Committees, Sen. Kaine offered his insights on negotiations surrounding the debt ceiling, global trade, and efforts to revise federal remote work policies aimed at getting government employees back to their offices. (The Roundtable’s workplace return efforts, Commercial Observer, April 14)

Rep. French Hill (R-AR)

  • Rep. French Hill (R-AR)

    Serving as Vice-Chair of the influential House Financial Services Committee and Chairman of its new Subcommittee on Digital Assets, Financial Technology and Inclusion, Rep. Hill addressed economic issues and CRE, debt ceiling negotiations, the banking system, and monetary policy. Yesterday, the Financial Services Committee approved two bills sponsored by Rep. Hill to expand capital formation.

CBO Director Phillip Swagel

  • Phillip Swagel, Director, Congressional Budget Office

    The government’s fiscal trajectory; the impact of high interest rates on federal revenue and spending; and long-term trends in social security, immigration, and the national debt were among the topics discussed by CBO Director Swagel. (The Fiscal Times, April 25)

NHMCH President Sharon Wilson Geno

  • Sharon Wilson Géno, President, National Multifamily Housing Council

    A Roundtable member exchange on policy issues included an update on affordable housing challenges facing the industry by NMHC’s President Géno. Capital concerns affecting multifamily and commercial markets were also a topic in a recent Walker Webcast featuring Géno and The Roundtable’s DeBoer, hosted by Roundtable Member Willy Walker (Chairman & CEO, Walker & Dunlop).

Thomas Flexner and Kevin Warsh

  • Kevin Warsh, Former Member of the Federal Reserve’s Board of Governors
    Mr. Warsh, right, a member of the Fed from 2006-2011, discussed the central bank’s potential actions affecting commercial real estate markets, the wave of CRE debt maturities, and the future of the office sector, with Roundtable Treasurer Thomas Flexner, left, Vice Chairman and Global Head of Real Estate, Citigroup.

Next on The Roundtable’s meeting calendar is the all-member Annual Meeting on June 13-14 in Washington, DC. 

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Federal Appeals Court Strikes Local Natural Gas Ban on New Construction

Posted on by Trey Jackson

San Diego G&E natgas pipeline

A federal appeals court on Monday struck a local law that banned natural gas hook-ups to new buildings. (Wall Street Journal, April 17 and AP News, April 18)

State and Local Gas Bans

  • In California Restaurant Ass’n v. City of Berkeley, the Ninth Circuit Court of Appeals ruled that a Berkeley, California ordinance was illegal because federal law “preempts” local building codes that try to prohibit stoves, furnaces and other appliances that use natural gas. (Politico E&E News, April 18).
  • Dozens of cities including New York, Washington, D.C, Los Angeles, and Chicago—and the states of California, Colorado, Maryland, and Washington—have passed building electrification mandates requiring new construction to install expensive heat pumps and other electric equipment for heating, cooling, and cooking.
  • New York Governor Kathy Hochul (D) has proposed a similar statewide ban on natural gas furnaces as a way to fight climate change. (Bloomberg, Jan. 23)

Impact of Court Ruling

Ninth Circuit Court of Appeals

  • The Ninth Circuit’s reasoning will likely prompt federal preemption challenges and may pose a “chilling effect” to similar state and local building decarbonization laws. (E&E News, April 18). Yet, environmental advocates maintain that the ruling is limited in scope and will not call into question other gas bans. (POLITICO, April 18)
  • Meanwhile, about 20 states have gone the other way with “bans on bans.” These laws would prohibit their cities and municipalities from stopping natural gas distribution and requiring all-electric new buildings.
  • “States and localities can’t skirt the text of broad preemption provisions” in a law passed by Congress to address the 1970s energy crisis, Judge Patrick Bumatay wrote for the Ninth Circuit’s unanimous opinion.

As its next litigation option, the City of Berkeley might ask for a fuller panel of Ninth Circuit judges to uphold its ordinance. The Roundtable will continue to monitor how local natural gas bans and related building performance standards impact federal-level policies that address real estate’s role to help tackle climate change. (Roundtable Weekly, March 3 and Jan. 20)

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Energy Department Releases Latest Nationwide Data on Building Energy Use

Posted on by Trey Jackson

CBECS 2018 report

The Department of Energy (DOE) this week presented its latest data on energy use in U.S. commercial buildings. The nationwide information released by DOE’s Energy Information Administration (EIA) is the basis for ENERGY STAR building scores from the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA). (EIA final results and reports) 

CBECS Results 

  • The latest Commercial Buildings Energy Consumption Survey (CBECS) reflects information collected in 2018. Although this is EIA’s newest building data, it is a “snapshot” in time—and does not account for occupancy rates or energy usage during or after the COVID-19 pandemic.
  • According to the 2018 CBECS, there are an estimated 5.9 million public and private commercial buildings in the U.S. across non-residential asset classes—75% of which were constructed before the year 2000. (CBECS “building characteristics” highlights)
  • Key CBECS findings on building energy consumption and expenditures include:
     
    • Building energy efficiency improved compared to the 2012 survey.
      Total floor space in commercial buildings increased yet energy consumption did not. Commercial buildings overall consumed 12% less energy per square foot of floor space in 2018 than in 2012. 

    • Electricity and natural gas accounted for about 94% of energy consumed.
      Electricity accounted for 60% of energy consumed (mostly for cooling) and natural gas for 34% (mostly for heating).
    • Large buildings were fewer but consumed over one-third of energy.
      Buildings over 100,000 square feet accounted for 2% of all commercial buildings—yet covered 34% of total commercial floor space. The newest buildings were the most energy intensive.
    • Commercial buildings spent $141 billion on energy in 2018, averaging $1.46 per square foot.
      Commercial buildings spent $119 billion on electricity, or 84% of their total energy expenditures. Natural gas accounted for 12% of total commercial building energy expenditures ($16 billion).
    • Space heating accounted for close to one-third of end-use consumption.
      Space heating was the most energy-intensive end use, especially in colder climates. Office equipment and computing were the least intensive end uses.

ENERGY STAR & NextGen Label 

EPA NextGen logo

  • EPA’s successful ENERGY STAR score—an efficiency rating for buildings—is generally based on CBECS data.
  • EPA is expected to update its models for calculating ENERGY STAR ratings in 2025, under the newly-released 2018 CBECS data. The anticipated update could greatly alter a building’s current ENERGY STAR score (presently based on 2012 CBECS data).   
  • EPA recently proposed a new voluntary label for low-carbon buildings. The NextGen label would expand upon ENERGY STAR and recognize buildings that use significant percentages of solar and other forms of renewable energy. 

The Real Estate Roundtable submitted comments to EPA last month on the NextGen building label proposal. (Roundtable letter and Roundtable Weekly, March 3) 

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Looming Debt Limit Expiration Dominates Congressional Agenda

Posted on by Trey Jackson
U.S. Capitol at dusk

House Republicans this week proposed the Limit, Save, Grow Act to cut federal spending and spur negotiations to raise the nation’s $31.4 trillion debt ceiling for approximately one year. President Joe Biden and Senate Democrats oppose the bill and propose lifting the debt ceiling without conditions. (The Hill, April 19 and Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget, April 20) 

X Date Approaches 

  • House Speaker Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) stated he aims to schedule a vote next week on the bill and begin negotiations with Democrats over raising the debt limit. McCarthy needs approval from 218 House members to pass the legislation, meaning he can only afford to lose four votes from his conference to pass it without Democratic support. (NBC News, April 19 and CBS News, April 18)
  • On Wednesday, the Problem Solvers Caucus—comprised of 32 moderate Democrats and 31 Republicans in the House—proposed their own plan to raise the debt ceiling. (Caucus news release and Axios, April 19)
  • The nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office estimated that Treasury will run out of money sometime between July and September, a point referred to as the “X date” (CBO analysis, Feb. | ABC News, April 15)
  • Mark Zandi, the chief economist at Moody’s Analytics testified last month before Congress that if no resolution is reached before mid-August, “a default would be a catastrophic blow to the already-fragile economy.” (Zandi’s written testimony, March 7) 

Congressional Hearings 

  • A House Ways and Means Committee hearing on Wednesday focused on the Limit, Save, Grow Act’s proposal to strike the package of clean energy tax incentives that Democrats passed last year in their signature climate law, the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA). (Roundtable Weekly, Aug. 12, 2022) 
  • The Republicans’ proposed repeal is unlikely to pass the Senate’s Democratic majority and President Biden has stated he would veto if it ever reached his desk. A Joint Committee on Taxation (JCT) report summarized the IRA’s incentives—and The Roundtable has prepared fact sheets on the credits and deductions relevant to CRE.
  • The day before the hearing, Rep. Bill Pascrell (D-NJ), Ranking Member of the Ways and Means Subcommittee on Oversight, introduced the Ending Wall Street Tax Giveaway Act, which would eliminate the current tax treatment of carried interest. (Pascrell news release, April 18)
  • On Tuesday, a House Financial Services Committee hearing on “Oversight of the Securities and Exchange Commission” featured testimony from SEC Chairman Gary Gensler, above. A final SEC rule on climate reporting, which derives from a proposal for sweeping disclosures on Scope 3 GHG emissions, is anticipated this spring. (Roundtable Weekly, March 25, 2022 and Roundtable Comments on the SEC Proposal, June 10, 2022)
  • Gensler testified that the agency is not interested in capturing emissions from all sources and small businesses in a reporting company’s Scope 3 “value chain.” He stated, “We only oversee seven or eight thousand public companies … It is not a rule about the rest.” 

The importance of the nation’s supply chains to the economy was also addressed when Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo testified before a House appropriations panel this week on the department’s 2024 budget. Secretary Raimondo will discuss national economic conditions during The Roundtable’s Spring Meeting next week in Washington. (Roundtable-level members only) 

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OPM Ends “Maximum Telework” Status for Federal Government

Posted on by Abigail Grenadier

U.S. Office of Personnel Management logo

On Tuesday, the White House Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announced that it is ending its “maximum telework” directive to federal agencies. 

Federal Workforce and Telework

  • At the outset of the pandemic, OPM issued a government-wide announcement that federal agencies should “operate as ‘open with maximum telework flexibilities to all current telework eligible employees…'” The April 18 memo from OPM Director Kiran Ahuja states that OPM will withdraw its maximum telework directive effective May 15, 2023. (Gov’t. Executive, Apr 19)

  • “COVID-19 is not driving decisions regarding how Federal agencies work and serve the public as it was at the outset of the pandemic,” wrote Director Ahuja in his memo to the chief human capital officers of federal agencies.
  • The announcement by OPM comes on the heels of guidance released last week from the White House Office of Management and Budget (OMB) informing federal agencies that they have 30 days to develop plans to “substantially increase” their employees in-person work at headquarters.

Roundtable Letters Jeff DeBoer RER Meeting

  • Both the OMB and OPM actions followed appeals from The Real Estate Roundtable for the federal government to end its “active encouragement of remote working for federal employees.” (RER letter to the Senate).
  • “The executive branch’s current policies are undermining the health of cities, local tax bases, and small businesses. Federal agencies should return to their pre-pandemic workplace practices,” wrote Real Estate Roundtable President and CEO Jeffrey DeBoer, above, in an April 12 letter to all U.S. Senators. 

  • In a similar letter to President Biden in December, DeBoer wrote that federal telework polices were ignoring “the negative impacts of remote work on cities and communities, labor productivity, and U.S. economic competitiveness, as well as the quality of government services.”  (Commercial Observer, April 14 and RER letter to President Biden).

  • “This week’s OPM announcement is another important step forward for our communities, small businesses, and local tax bases that depend on vibrant city centers,” said DeBoer. (Roundtable Weekly, April 14)

Low Office Occupancy Persists Empty office

  • Kastle reported on Monday that office occupancy rates for 10 U.S. cities fell to an average of 46%, a weekly dip of 2.2 points that reflects consistent rates of under 50% since last month. (Kastle’s Back to Work Barometer, April 17)
  • Real estate investor Sam Zell commented this week on the state of the office market and remote work, predicting a reversal in telework trends. (GlobeSt, April 20)
  • “We’re all reading about layoffs in the newspapers. It will be interesting to see what percentage of those who lost their jobs worked from home and what percentage of them are people who came into the office,” said Zell. “The office situation will change. People need to be together to develop their skills.”

The impact of return-to-the office on the industry, communities, and the economy will be a focus of discussion during The Roundtable’s April 24-25 Spring Meeting in Washington, DC. (Roundtable-level members only). 

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Banking Crisis Impact on CRE

Posted on by Trey Jackson

Buildings sky

A recent Moody’s Analytics report compares the amount of commercial real estate loans held by small and regional banks today to CRE asset exposures during the Global Financial Crisis of 2008, concluding that credit positives in the current environment present a more manageable downcycle for CRE and its lenders than 15 years ago. The Roundtable continues to urge federal regulators to issue guidance as soon as possible that would give greater flexibility to lenders for restructuring commercial real estate loans with borrowers.

CRE Exposure

  • Nearly $1.5 trillion in CRE loans will mature over the next three years, over half of which is held by commercial banks, according to a separate Morgan Stanley analysis. (Bloomberg, April 8)
  • The report from Moody’s acknowledges that higher interest rates currently threaten CRE loans, especially for maturing loans backed by struggling assets. Yet the banking sector has seen recent positive signs, including controlled and strategic borrowing, along with stable deposit levels among small banks.
  • The Moody’s analysis also notes that CRE loans today have less leverage, asset pricing has more cushion, and borrowers have a more diverse set of debt sources, which puts the CRE debt market in a relatively better position when compared to a 2008-style bank liquidity crunch. (Axios, April 12 and CNBC, April 9).

Moodys CRE Lending

  • In the chart above, the Moody’s report clarifies that 13.8% of debt on income-producing properties is held by 135 US regional banks, generally considered as those with about $10 billion to $160 billion in assets. The top 25 banks considered large by the Federal Reserve hold 12.1%. Additionally, 829 community banks (with $1 billion to $10 billion of assets) hold 9.6%, and the remaining 3.2% is spread among 3,726 very small local banks with less than $1 billion in assets. (GlobeSt and Commercial Observer, April 7)
  • Kevin Fagan, director of commercial real estate analysis at Moody’s Analytics told CNBC, “There’s a lot of headaches about calamity in commercial real estate. There likely will be issues but it’s more of a typical down cycle.” Fagan also told Axios, “there’s definitely been an overreaction in the market about the relationship between banks and CRE.”

Roundtable Request to Regulators

Federal Reserve sunset

  • A March 17 Roundtable letter to federal regulators cited market uncertainty from regional bank turmoil—along with a steady increase in looming debt maturities, rising interest rates, and remote work’s negative influence on office space demand—as coalescing factors that have put pressure on liquidity and decreased refinancing options for CRE assets.
  • The Roundtable continues to urge federal regulators to issue guidance that would give financial institutions increased flexibility to refinance loans with borrowers and lenders—similar to other initiatives in 2009, 2010, 2020, and as proposed in 2022. (Roundtable letter to regulators, March 17)
  • The Roundtable also urged bank regulatory Agencies to avoid any pro-cyclical policies, such as requiring financial institutions to increase capital and liquidity levels to reflect current mark to market models. “These policies would have the unintended consequence of further diminishing liquidity and creating additional downward pressure on asset values,” the letter states.
  • Last week, Roundtable President and CEO Jeffrey DeBoer discussed capital concerns affecting commercial markets on the Walker Webcast with National Multifamily Housing Council President Sharon Wilson Géno and Roundtable Member Willy Walker (Chairman & CEO, Walker & Dunlop). (Roundtable Weekly, April 7)

DeBoer noted during the webcast that “The concept of additional regulations and expanding liquidity are kind of counter to each other. [The banking crisis] has to be allowed to settle through and transition. We ought to be working together and the federal government ought to be helping people transition to that new world.” (Walker Webcast, April 6)

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White House Shifts Policy, Directs Agencies to Focus on Returning Federal Employees to the Workplace

Posted on by Trey Jackson

The White HouseThe White House informed federal agencies yesterday that they have 30 days to develop plans to “substantially increase” their employees in-person work at headquarters. The new guidance is an important step forward that is supported by The Real Estate Roundtable, which sent letters to President Joe Biden in December and the Senate this week about the need to get more federal workers back to the workplace. (Commercial Observer and The Hill, April 14 | Roundtable Weekly and Letter to President Biden, Dec. 2022) 

Remote Work & Agency Policies  

  • Office of Management and Budget (OMB) Deputy Director Jason Miller commented, “The guidance we are releasing today directs agencies to refresh their Work Environment plans and policies—with the general expectation that agency headquarters will continue to substantially increase in-person presence in the office—while also conducting regular assessments to determine what is working well, what is not, and what can be improved,” Miller wrote. (OMB blog post, April 13)
     
  • The OMB guidance also informs federal agencies that the impact on local communities should be considered when determining future physical space requirements. The memo’s examples for measuring community needs includes the “location and use of agency-occupied office space and other real estate.” (Page 19, OMB guidance, April 13)
     
  • The OMB memo to federal agencies comes after President Biden signed a bipartisan congressional resolution on April 10 that immediately ended the three-year Covid-19 national emergency declaration. Many of the two million civilian federal employees began working remotely after the original March 2020 declaration. (Reuters, April 13)
     
  • A White House official told CNN, “To be clear, ending the National Emergency will not impact the planned wind-down of the Public Health Emergency on May 11.”

Impact on Communities & Real Estate 

Jeffrey DeBoer, Real Estate Roundtable President and CEO

  • Roundtable President and CEO Jeffrey DeBoer, above, stated, “The OMB remote work guidance is a welcome step toward increasing in-person work by Federal Agency employees. Widespread Federal agency remote work was appropriate during the COVID-19 national emergency. With that emergency now officially behind us it is very appropriate that the Federal Government now asks its Agencies to refresh their remote work policies with an eye toward less remote work.”
     
  • Roundtable Senior Vice President Ryan McCormick added, “However, welcome as this new guidance is, more concrete action may be required for the new guidance to have meaningful, positive impact on communities, small businesses, and the overall health of our nation’s cities. We look forward to understanding the true impact of the new guidance, and we will continue to offer positive insights into why strong workplace attendance is so important.” 
  • In December, DeBoer and Real Estate Roundtable Chair John Fish (SUFFOLK Chairman & CEO) urged President Biden “to direct federal agencies to enhance their consideration of the impact of agency employee remote working on communities, surrounding small employers, transit systems, local tax bases and other important considerations.” (Roundtable letter, Dec. 12, 2022) 
  • In January, DC Mayor Muriel Bowser reiterated The Roundtable’s views about the need to get more federal workers back to the workplace and convert underutilized commercial real estate spaces into affordable housing. (Roundtable Weekly, Jan. 6) 

Roundtable Calls for Senate Action 

US Capitol Building

  • The Roundtable on Wednesday also called upon all U.S. Senators to suspend current federal telework rules and return agencies to their pre-pandemic workplace practices. (ConnectCRE, April 13 and Roundtable letter to the Senate)
  • The April 12 letter explained how remote work is undermining the health of cities, local tax bases, and small businesses. The letter also notes that the vast majority of state and local governments, congressional offices, and private sector employers are instituting return-to-workplace policies.
  • The House of Representatives recently passed legislation—the Stopping Home Office Work’s Unproductive Problems (SHOW UP) Act (H.R. 139)—that would require all federal agencies to revert to pre-pandemic telework office arrangements and allow employees 30 days to return to their offices. (GovExec, Feb. 1 and The Hill, Feb. 2)
  • Last week, The Roundtable’s DeBoer commented on federal remote work and potential Senate action. “We’re trying to get Congress to pass a rule that will require the agencies to go back to pre-pandemic rules. Now, if they’re at home and they’re not downtown, the small businesses suffer, the transportation suffers, safety issues suffer, and the tax base suffers. And so we’re focused on getting people back to the office as much as possible.” (Walker Webcast, 32:58) 

The impact of return-to-the office on the industry, communities, and the economy will be a focus of discussion during The Roundtable’s April 24-25 Spring Meeting in Washington, DC. (Roundtable-level members only). 

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Senators Urge Regulators to Assess Risks to U.S. Financial System; Roundtable Leaders Voice Concerns

Posted on by Trey Jackson

Sen. Crapo at RER Meeting

Senate Banking Committee Chairman Sherrod Brown (D-OH), above, and 11 other committee members urged Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, who oversees the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), to identify risks and vulnerabilities brought to light during the recent banking crisis and provide regulatory, legislative, or other recommendations. (March 31 Letter and Politico Pro)

Regulatory Action

  • The committee letter called upon the Oversight Council’s members to conduct a thorough assessment that should include “traditional, quantifiable risks within prudential regulation, such as liquidity and interest rate risk management of less durable funding sources like non-core or uninsured deposits, and concentrations in asset classes like commercial real estate & long duration bonds.” (March 31 Letter) 
  • The Federal Reserve is conducting a separate review of federal banking oversight, with a report expected by May 1 that will recommend regulatory and supervisory actions. Fed Chair Jerome Powell has stated he will support the report’s regulatory recommendations. (Barr congressional testimony, March 30 and The Hill, March 28)
     
  • A recent House Financial Services Committee (HFSC) hearing—“The Federal Regulators’ Response to Recent Bank Failures”—featured testimony from Federal Reserve Vice Chair for Supervision Michael Barr, Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. Chairman Martin Gruenberg and Treasury Undersecretary for Domestic Finance Nellie Liang.
     
  • HFSC Chairman Patrick McHenry (R-NC) on March 31 stated, “As we heard from [President] Biden’s own regulators at this week’s hearing, supervisory incompetence was the leading cause of the failures. There is no evidence that the original Dodd-Frank would have prevented these bank runs. Additionally, no recent stress test has considered the current economic conditions—most notably the Fed’s rapid rate increases to combat Democrat-induced inflation—that contributed to the fall of these institutions.”

Roundtable Leaders Respond

Walker Webcast April 5, 2023 with Jeff DeBoer

  • Capital concerns affecting commercial and multifamily markets were a focus this week of the Walker Webcast, which featured Roundtable President and CEO Jeffrey DeBoer and National Multifamily Housing Council President Sharon Wilson Géno. Roundtable Member Willy Walker (Chairman & CEO, Walker & Dunlop) led the wide-ranging discussion on April 5, which addressed the federal response to the bank failures, the debt ceiling, and affordable housing. 

  • DeBoer said, “I don’t think anybody assumed a 12-year period of basically zero interest rates, followed by a steep 500bps increase in financing costs, immediately following a once-every-hundred-years pandemic that shut everything down and changed a lot of the ways  . . . (in which) . . . the built environment would be used,” DeBoer said. “I think all of this has to be allowed to settle through.” (Walker Webcast video and Connect CRE, April 5)
     
  • Similar observations were offered this week by the head of the International Monetary Fund, who cautioned that a more volatile global economy would bring slower growth and greater financial fragility. “There is simply no way that interest rates would go up so much after being low for so long and there would be no vulnerabilities. Something is going to go boom,” IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva said. (PoliticoPro, April 6)
     
  • DeBoer also noted The Roundtable’s recent letter urging federal regulators “to take action immediately to provide increased latitude for financing institutions to work constructively with borrowers. Such action will avert what we believe would be an unnecessary crisis.” (Roundtable Weekly, March 17)

Bill Rudin on Squawk Box April 2023

The challenges facing the industry due to recent interest rate hikes, bank failures, and continued widespread remote work will be a top focus of The Roundtable’s Spring Meeting on April 24-25 in Washington, DC (Roundtable-level members only). 

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