Category: Policy Landscape

The protracted vote process for Republican House Speaker this week stalled the start of the new GOP House majority in a narrowly divided 118^th Congress, portending difficulties ahead for policymakers to reach agreement on raising the debt limit this summer and passing FY24 funding for the government by Sept. 30. This speaker election is the longest since 1859. (Semafor, Jan. 6 | The Hill, Jan. 5 | Bloomberg Law, Jan. 3)

House Challenges Ahead

• Until a House speaker is elected, new representatives cannot be sworn in, lawmakers cannot introduce bills, and committee chairs (including leadership of the important tax-writing House Ways and Means Committee) cannot be confirmed. (BGov, Jan. 6 and ABC News, Jan. 5)
• Sen. John Cornyn (R-TX), an adviser to the Senate GOP leadership team, said raising the debt limit with a slim, five-seat Republican majority in the House that can be leveraged by a small group of staunch conservatives, “will probably be the single biggest challenge the House will have.” (The Hill, Jan. 5)
• Failure to raise the U.S. debt limit would lead to a first-ever default, causing financial chaos in the global economy. In 2011, an impasse between Republicans and President Obama over increasing the debt limit led to a temporary downgrade of the credit of the United States. The crisis ended after an agreement was reached to cut more than $2 trillion in spending over a decade. (New York Times, Dec. 9, 2022 and Washington Post, Dec. 5, 2022 | Congressional Research Service, Nov. 22, 2022)
• Additionally, funding for the government expires on Sept. 30, the end of the federal fiscal year. A legislative standoff on spending priorities for FY24 after Sept. 30 could lead to either a “Continuing Resolution” to fund the government programs at current levels or a partial shutdown. (CQ, Dec. 29, 2022)

The Regulatory Front

• The new Republican majority in the House is expected to bring intense oversight of government programs funded by the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) passed by Congress in August—and increased scrutiny of proposed regulations that could impact commercial real estate. (Roundtable Weekly, Aug. 12, 2022)
• The IRA included nearly $370 billion in climate spending—the largest federal clean energy investment in U.S. history—with measures important to CRE. [See Roundtable Fact Sheets on the IRA & CRE: Clean Energy Tax Incentives (Sept. 20) and Revenue Provisions (Aug. 17)]
• The Real Estate Roundtable submitted extensive comments to Treasury and the IRS on Nov. 4 that address various clean energy tax incentives in the IRA. (Nov. 4 letter and Roundtable Weekly, Aug. 12)
• The Roundtable also plans to submit comments by Jan. 18 to the Environmental Protection Agency on EPA federal grant programs that could impact CRE.

• Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) climate disclosure regulations are now expected by April. The proposed rules would require all registered companies to disclose material financial risks related to climate change, and may include new disclosure requirements for “Scope 3” GHG emissions. The Roundtable submitted extensive comments to the SEC about the proposal on June 10. (Roundtable Weekly, June 10, 2022)

Policymaking in the 118^th Congress and regulatory proposals affecting CRE will be among the topics discussed during The Roundtable’s Jan. 24-25 State of the Industry Meeting in Washington, DC.

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The House of Representatives is expected to pass a Senate-approved $1.65 trillion fiscal 2023 bill by tomorrow to avert a government shutdown. President Biden needs to sign the 4,155-page “omnibus” package before midnight on Dec. 23 to fund the government through Sept. 30, 2023. (CNBC and Politico, Dec. 22 | The Hill, Dec. 20)

Omnibus & Taxes

• The omnibus passed by the Senate today includes $858 billion in military spending and approximately $772.5 billion in nondefense discretionary spending. The $1.65 trillion legislative package is a slight increase over the previous fiscal year’s $1.5 trillion omnibus. (Wall Street Journal, Dec. 22)
• The massive funding bill also includes a bipartisan package of retirement savings provisions, but not other proposals on lawmakers’ shortlist of end-of-year tax priorities, such as an expansion of the low-income housing tax credit (LIHTC). The Roundtable’s support for the LIHTC and other provisions such as modernizing the rules for REITs and facilitating condominium construction will continue into the 118^th Congress. (Tax Notes, Dec. 21 and Roundtable Weekly, Oct. 21)

The outlook for policy in the new Congress will be a topic for discussion during The Roundtable’s Jan. 24-25 all-member State of The Industry Meeting in Washington.

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This week, Congress passed a government funding extension package until Dec. 23 while appropriators continue working on a $1.7 trillion FY2023 “omnibus” spending deal that they may unveil on Monday. (CQ News and BGov, Dec. 16) 

Omnibus Negotiations 

• President Biden is expected to sign the extension today, as bipartisan efforts to reach a funding agreement continue among congressional policymakers. Some Republicans, including House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy (R-CA), are urging their colleagues to postpone negotiations until January when the GOP assumes majority control of the House. (Wall Street Journal, Dec. 14)
   
• The logjam in reaching a final deal focuses on $26 billion in non-defense, domestic spending. Both sides have agreed on $858 billion for defense spending. (Forbes, Dec. 14)
   
• If an agreement on an omnibus cannot be reached next week, Democrats may forego new legislation in favor of a one-year continuing resolution that would freeze government funding at current levels and allow certain tax policies to expire. (Roundtable Weekly, Dec. 2 and Dec. 9) 

Tax Policy Prospects 

• Chances that a spending agreement will include tax policy—including “extenders” of tax incentives that have expired or are set to lapse after 2022—are uncertain. (Roundtable Weekly, Dec. 9)
• House Ways and Means Committee Chair Richard Neal (D-MA), above, said on Thursday, “We continue the negotiations. The conversations are ongoing. I still can see the contours of a big deal.” (BGov, Dec. 16)
• Senate Minority Whip John Thune (R-SD) said earlier this week that he is doubtful that a year-end tax deal will be added to an omnibus. (Politico, Dec. 13)

Implementing IRA Tax Provisions

• The Internal Revenue Service (IRS) will open a new office to monitor the agency’s implementation of the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act’s clean energy provisions, according to a new IRS report released Thursday.
• The Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) Transformation & Implementation Office will include units focused on “implementation of new tax law provisions, taxpayer services transformation, tax compliance transformation and human capital transformation.” (BGov, Dec. 15)
• Additionally, The White House released a guidebook this week on the IRA’s clean energy provisions as a compendium reference to the large amount of federal energy and climate programs financed by the IRA. (White House Fact Sheet, Dec. 15) 

The Roundtable will discuss energy and tax policy developments during our 2023 State of the Industry and Policy Advisory Committee meetings on Jan. 24-25 in Washington, DC.

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Congress reached an impasse on a government spending package this week, leaving lawmakers with limited options before Dec. 16 when the expiration of current funding would cause a partial shutdown. Policymakers may opt to pass a short-term Continuing Resolution (CR) to fund the government at current levels while they attempt to reach an agreement by year-end on a massive “omnibus” package—which could include tax, affordable housing, and other measures important to commercial real estate. (Roll Call, Dec. 8 and Roundtable Weekly, Dec. 2)

Funding Logjam

• Policymakers are reportedly gridlocked over $26 billion in non-defense, domestic spending that would be part of an estimated $1.7 trillion overall funding bill. Both sides have agreed on $858 billion for defense spending. (PoliticoPro, Dec. 7 and CQ, Dec. 8)
• With the clock ticking, Democrats may introduce their own omnibus proposal next week with measures designed to attract the 60 votes needed to pass the Senate, along with a full-year CR. (Punchbowl, Dec. 8)
• If an agreement cannot be reached, Democrats may forego new legislation in favor of a one-year CR that would freeze government funding at current levels and allow certain tax policies to expire. Some House Republicans are urging their colleagues to take another course—wait until early next year when they assume majority control and can exert greater influence over funding negotiations with the Senate’s Democratic majority. (Washington Post, Dec. 8)

Other Policy News

• Senate Democrats on Tuesday voted unanimously to re-elect their entire leadership team to another term for the 118^th Congress, with Majority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-NY), above right, at the helm.
• Today, Schumer stated that Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (D-AZ), above, will keep her committee assignments after she registered as an independent and published an op-ed in the Arizona Republic about why she is leaving the Democratic Party. (The Hill, Dec. 8 and Dec. 9 | Wall Street Journal, Dec. 9)
• Sinema suggested her decision would not affect the power balance in the Senate because she will not caucus with Republicans and her voting behavior will not change. (Politico, Dec. 9)

Separately, the Treasury Department’s recently released, initial guidance on labor standards for companies to qualify for increased incentives in the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) will be the focus of two Department of Labor webinars next week. Register for the Wednesday, December 14 or Thursday, December 15 webinars, both scheduled for 1pm EST. (Roundtable Weekly, Dec. 2)

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Congress this month will consider a $47 billion emergency funding request from the White House as part of a “continuing resolution” (CR) spending bill that would avoid a partial government shutdown starting Oct. 1. (Roll Call, Sept. 6, White House request, Sept. 2) 

Legislative Timing 

• Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-NY) said this week, “We’re hoping the CR would go to about mid-December and then we might do an omnibus”—a bill that would fund the government through the remainder of the federal fiscal year (Sept. 30, 2023). However, the November mid-term elections could push consideration of an omnibus budget to the congressional lame-duck session. (Reuters, Sept. 7)
• The CR may also include legislation to fast-track federal permits for energy projects, which Schumer and Sen. Joe Manchin (D-WV) agreed to last month in principle as part of the Democrats’ effort to pass the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 (IRA).
• Schumer said on Wednesday, “Permitting reform is part of the IRA, and we will get it done.” (PoliticoPro, Sept. 7 and E&E Daily, Sept. 8) 

The IRA & CRE 

• The IRA, passed on strict party-line votes in both chambers last month, is a $790 billion tax-and-spending package that includes the largest federal clean energy investment in U.S. history. (Roundtable Weekly, Aug. 12)
• Roundtable fact sheets detail the IRA’s impact on Clean Energy Tax Incentives and Revenue Provisions affecting commercial real estate.
• The Real Estate Roundtable has encouraged Congress for several years to develop clean energy tax incentives that are more usable for building owners, managers, and financiers—and more impactful to help meet national carbon reduction goals.
• The Roundtable will stay engaged with lawmakers as the Treasury Department proposes rules and guidance on a range of issues to implement the IRA’s provisions. 

Clean Energy Spending 

• The Biden administration confirmed last week that its top climate advisor Gina McCarthy is leaving her post. The White House also announced that John Podesta, above, will become a senior advisor for clean energy innovation, oversee the implementation of the IRA’s climate and energy spending, and serve as chair of President Biden’s National Climate Task Force. Podesta led former President Barack Obama’s climate strategy. (Wall Street Journal and CNBC, Sept. 2)
• Private sector investments in battery factories, solar panel manufacturing and other projects in the weeks since President Biden signed the IRA are part of the New York Time’s Sept. 7 article, “Clean Energy Projects Surge After Climate Bill Passage.” 

Roundtable members will meet in Washington, DC on Sept. 20-21 to discuss the IRA’s impact on CRE, the outlook for the midterm elections, and other topics, such as the Federal Reserve’s concurrent meeting on monetary policy. 

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