Category: Elections and Policy Updates

The Roundtable Congratulates President-Elect Trump and Looks Forward to Jointly Addressing Key Policy Priorities    

Posted on by Abigail Grenadier

The 2024 election cycle concluded this week, with Donald J. Trump elected as President of the United States. The Roundtable congratulated the President-elect and the newly elected members of Congress. As the nation transitions to new leadership, The Roundtable is looking forward to collaborating with the new administration and Congress on policies critical to the economy, jobs, housing, and the health of real estate markets.

Election Results

  • At the time the election was called, President-elect Trump had received 295 electoral votes compared to Vice President Harris’ 226. Trump also took the lead in the popular vote, with 72,773,748 votes compared to Harris’ 68,123,125. (The New York Times, Nov. 7)
  • On the Congressional front, the Republican party took control of the Senate with 53 seats. Neither party has reached the necessary 218 seats to secure a majority in the House, but Republicans are in the lead with 211 seats. (AP News, Nov. 7)

Focused Hard Work Ahead Regarding Tax Legislation, Deregulation, and Housing Policy Shifts

  • Donald Trump’s victory in the presidential election, Republicans’ victory in the Senate, and the likely Republican House majority dramatically reshuffle the dynamics for policy debates on key issues related to real estate. The Roundtable’s initial thoughts on how the election results impact our priorities, strategy and outlook include:
  • Tax Policy Extensions and New Proposals: The incoming administration is expected to extend 2017 tax cuts, restore bonus depreciation, and support Opportunity Zone incentives. New pro-growth tax measures could also gain traction.
  • Deregulation in Energy and Financial Services: Deregulatory shifts may impact climate and financial services regulations, prioritizing oil and gas development, easing bank regulatory and SEC, HUD, and FHFA oversight. Federal rollbacks could increase regulatory challenges across states as they implement varying climate standards. Ensuring grid reliability could become an even more prominent issue in the energy policy arena.
  • Focus on Credit Markets and Housing: Anticipated policy objectives include reducing mortgage rates, revisiting Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac conservatorship, and reducing housing costs by cutting regulatory barriers. Potential Treasury appointments reflect a push toward expanded credit access and reduced regulatory burden.

Roundtable Statement

Earlier this week, Roundtable President and CEO Jeffrey D. DeBoer issued a statement congratulating President-elect Trump and pledging to work with the new administration and Congress on pressing commercial real estate issues.

“We look forward to working with the President-elect and his team to advance policies that will expand the nation’s economy, boost job creation, increase the supply and affordability of housing, and address the many important national policy issues related to constructing, financing and maintaining modern real estate, work, living, and recreational buildings.

Strong real estate markets provide millions of American jobs, support strong local budgets, and help millions of people plan for retirement through their pension and retirement savings investments in real estate.

The strength of real estate and the benefits the industry provides to all Americans, depends on fair, consistent, and forward-looking policies at all levels of government.

Real estate public policies are nonpartisan. The Real Estate Roundtable supports policies based on objective economic principles that are responsive to changing economic cycles and sensitive to societal demands.

Tax and financial regulatory reform, housing investment, immigration issues, energy policy, and physical and cyber security each present opportunities to advance the economy and stability of U.S. real estate markets.

We are excited to offer our support, expertise and assistance to President-elect Trump and the new Congress. We are honored to contribute meaningfully to the strength and prosperity of our nation,” said DeBoer.

Zoom Town Hall Recap: Election Insights and CRE Policy Priorities

Posted on by Abigail Grenadier

Last week, The Roundtable hosted a Zoom Town Hall to discuss the upcoming election, along with policy priorities for the lame-duck session and the upcoming year. (Watch Town Hall)

Town Hall

  • The Roundtable’s Chair Kathleen McCarthy (Global Co-Head of Blackstone Real Estate, Blackstone) kicked off the meeting thanking and recognizing Roundtable Immediate Past Chair John Fish (Chairman and CEO, Suffolk) and board members for their stewardship and support.
  • The Town Hall featured Jonathan Martin, Politics Bureau Chief and Senior Political Columnist for POLITICO. He shared his expert insights on the political landscape, highlighting the most significant races and trends leading up to the election.

Election Forecast

  • Senate flip likely: Martin emphasized the high likelihood of a Senate flip.
  • Split government impact: If Vice President Kamala Harris wins the presidential election, the Senate and House could be controlled by opposing parties. Conversely, a Trump victory might ensure Republican control of both chambers.
  • The policy angle: Regardless of the election outcome, key commercial real estate issues will remain central to legislative discussions.
  • “We are preparing for potential action during the lame-duck session, but definitely positioning ourselves for what may come next year,” said Roundtable President & CEO Jeffrey DeBoer. “No matter the election outcome, core issues for the real estate industry—tax policy, energy, housing affordability and liquidity—will be front and center.”

Roundtable Policy Priorities: What’s Next?

  • Tax policy: The Roundtable is preparing for potential tax legislation in the lame-duck session, although it likely will be delayed until next year’s debate regarding the expiration of the 2017 tax cuts. Priorities include:
    • Capital formation and capital gains: Preserving key elements of the tax code (e.g., capital gains preference, like-kind exchanges) that encourage productive real estate investment, risk-taking, and growth.
    • Strong partnership, pass–through, and entity choice rules. Extending tax provisions like section 199A that allow pass-through businesses to compete on a level playing field with public corporations.  
    • Foreign investment and competitiveness: Ensuring the U.S. remains competitive by maintaining tax rules and regulations that attract foreign capital to infrastructure and real estate.
    • Affordable housing incentives: RER advocacy will continue for tax incentives tied to affordable housing, energy efficiency, Opportunity Zones, and commercial-to-residential conversions.

  • Energy & climate: Expect policy movement regardless of election outcomes. Key focus areas include:
    • Mandates on buildings: state and local governments are increasingly adopting Building Performance Standard (BPS) laws that impose mandates on buildings to limit emissions and energy use, setting new requirements for energy and climate performance in real estate.
      • RER recently published a BPS policy guidebook reflecting our ongoing commitment to addressing climate change while ensuring the economic sustainability of real estate investments and the communities they support. (Roundtable Weekly, Oct. 11)
    • Disclosure requirements: Future climate risk disclosures for public companies remain on the radar, along with possible passage of the Energy Permitting Reform Act of 2024 (S. 4753), legislation aimed at streamlining and modernizing the permitting process for energy infrastructure projects.

  • Capital & credit: RER continues to monitor the looming wave of maturing commercial real estate loans, Basel III Endgame proposals, and SEC rules affecting capital formation.
    • Insurance rate spike: The real estate industry is dealing with a historic spike in insurance rates, exacerbated by recent hurricanes. RER continues to work constructively with policymakers and stakeholders to address commercial insurance gaps and rising costs.
    • Basel III Endgame: With regulators at an apparent impasse on revisions to the original Basel III Endgame proposal, we do not expect any further action on the revised proposal before the elections.

RER’s Real Estate Capital Policy Advisory Committee (RECPAC) will be meeting in person on November 19, 2024 in New York to discuss the outcome of the election on the political landscape, the economic outlook, capital and debt markets and much more.